The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lehigh Valley Phantoms 39.9%
Draw 22.6%
Bridgeport Islanders 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
23.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
26.7%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lehigh Valley Phantoms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lehigh Valley Phantoms's form might have worsened.
Bridgeport Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bridgeport Islanders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lehigh Valley Phantoms, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bridgeport Islanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Bridgeport Islanders Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kolosov A. (G)
50. Tikkanen H. (G)
16. Berglund J.
49. Bear E.
59. Bonk O.
34. Beckman A.
23. Dorwart K.
47. Day S.
43. Eklind O.
7. Dube P.
56. Gaucher J. (A)
43. Eiserman C.
3. Grans H.
12. Eklund V.
82. Guenette M. (A)
8. Foudy L.
5. Jiricek D.
20. Highmore M. (A)
61. Katchouk B.
16. Jefferies A.
24. Knuble C.
11. Kuefler D.
15. Kyrou C.
17. Larson J.
19. McDonald H.
29. Luff M.
10. Powell N.
3. McWard C.
90. Richard A.
10. Mitchell T.
22. Robertson T.
2. Odelius C.
18. Thompson R.
25. Terry C. (A)
26. Tomasino P.
15. Thiesing C.
74. Wisdom Z. (A)
6. Warren M.
Substitutes
64. Bjarnason C. (G)
33. Kotai J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (5 - 2)
01:13, 1 - 0, Tomasino P. (G), Dorwart K. (A),
05:11, 2 - 0, Dorwart K. (G), Tomasino P. (A),
07:46, 2 - 1, Eiserman C. (G), Luff M. (A), Bear E. (A2)
08:51, 2 - 2, Jefferies A. (G), Terry C. (A),
11:52, 3 - 2, Gaucher J. (G), Powell N. (A), Katchouk B. (A2)
15:08, 4 - 2, Gaucher J. (G), Grans H. (A), Kyrou C. (A2)
15:30, 5 - 2, Wisdom Z. (G), Thompson R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
10:32, 5 - 3, Eklund V. (G), Warren M. (A), McWard C. (A2)
17:32, 6 - 3, Wisdom Z. (G),
18:17, 7 - 3, Gaucher J. (G),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lehigh Valley won 1.
Recent form of Lehigh Valley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bridgeport is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Bridgeport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bridgeport has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Bridgeport will win today's game, with odds of 2.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lehigh Valley won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 65:61. (average 3.3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lehigh Valley won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 2.9:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Bridgeport Islanders - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.01%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Kolosov A. (G) 
Tikkanen H. (G) 
Berglund J. 
Bear E. 
Dorwart K. 
Dube P. 
Jiricek D. 
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