Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Total Mortgage Arena (Bridgeport, CT)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Bridgeport Islanders		Hershey Bears

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.45	Watch
	2.38	3.95	2.45
	2.5	4.2	2.34
	2.53	4.26	2.27	Watch
	2.3	4	2.4
	2.45	4.05	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.6)	4.08 ↓ (4.2)	2.36 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bridgeport Islanders
38.5%

Draw
22.6%

Hershey Bears
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

22.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

23.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bridgeport Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hogberg M. (G)	31. Stevenson C. (G)
49. Bear E.	7. Belpedio L. (A)
34. Beckman A.	43. Bitten S.
7. Dube P.	20. Cristall A.
43. Eiserman C.	19. Cruikshank G.
12. Eklund V.	48. Gucciardi D.
8. Foudy L.	23. Leason B.
4. George I.	52. Luypen J.
20. Highmore M. (A)	47. McDonald J.
16. Jefferies A.	15. Milano S.
11. Kuefler D.	10. Miroshnichenko I.
29. Luff M.	27. Ness A.
3. McWard C.	40. Protas I.
10. Mitchell T.	12. Rybinski H.
21. Ritchie C.	6. Schueneman C.
24. Rowe L.	45. Strome M. (A)
25. Terry C. (A)	41. Suzdalev A.
15. Thiesing C.	44. Trineyev B.
6. Warren M.	4. Webb R.
Substitutes
33. Kotai J. (G)	35. Gibson M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:31, 0 - 1, Gucciardi D. (G), Rybinski H. (A), Schueneman C. (A2)
19:58, 0 - 2, Rybinski H. (G), Cruikshank G. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)

Preview

First leg.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bridgeport won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bridgeport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bridgeport has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bridgeport won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:63. (average 2.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bridgeport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.4:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Bridgeport Islanders - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.7%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Hershey Bears - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bridgeport Islanders
AHL
18.04.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Bridgeport Islanders	2:5 ✺
12.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Bridgeport Islanders	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWL
- Hershey Bears
AHL
19.04.26	Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans	5:4 OT ✺
18.04.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	6:1 ✺
11.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
18.04.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	1:2
01.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	4:1
22.03.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	3:6
21.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	4:3 penalties
20.12.25	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	4:1
29.10.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	1:3
26.03.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	1:4

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