Match Info

SHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Tegera Arena (Leksands)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Leksand		Rögle

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.5	2
	2.99	4.14	2.1	Watch
	3.01	4	2.08	Watch
	2.88	3.9	2.05
	2.95	4.1	2.09	Watch
	3.05	4.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.18)	4.15 ↓ (4.16)	2.05 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leksand
31.4%

Draw
22.7%

Rögle
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

22.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

23.6%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leksand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leksand than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Rögle aligns with the current prediction.

Leksand - Rögle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1, OT - Leksand (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leksand (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Gidlof M. (G)	65. Rifalk C. (G)
10. Johansson A.	95. Friedman M.
6. Lundqvist A.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
29. Lindqvist M.	18. Everberg D. (C)
22. Vejdemo L. (C)	37. Sundsvik A.
14. Lang O.	72. Zaar D.
Line 2
8. Caito M. (A)	58. Johansson F.
33. Strandell O.	44. de Haan C.
5. Kaderli A.	52. Nilsson F.
4. Koblar T.	22. Olofsson F. (A)
34. Cehlarik P.	62. Horky L.
Line 3
28. Johansson V.	6. LaDue P.
21. Lyytinen J.	51. Sjalin C.
15. Veronneau M.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
20. Stevens N.	83. Kuhlman K.
9. Fortier G.	8. Sandin L.
Line 4
36. Milosevic S.	45. Biber G.
7. Karlberg M.	32. Solberg I.
13. Knuts J.	27. Sjodin L.
24. Eljas A. (A)	41. Zether S.
Substitutes
37. Hellsten J. (G)	75. Holm A. (G)
11. Nilsson W.	17. Neumann J.
30. Tamm V. (G)
Coaches
. Hedberg J.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
06:01, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (2 min),
09:11, Johansson A. (2 min),
15:57, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:37, Johansson V. (2 min),
07:31, Nilsson F. (2 min),
16:27, (2 min),
19:17, 1 - 0, Lundqvist A. (G), Kaderli A. (A), Cehlarik P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone SHL (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leksand won 3.

Leksand is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rögle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rögle might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leksand won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:40. (average 3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leksand won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 3.2:1.3).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	8	3	1	0	4	20:18	11

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.16%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leksands IF
SHL
17.01.26	Luleå - Leksand	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Leksand - Brynäs	4:5 OT ✺
10.01.26	Frölunda - Leksand	6:4 ✺
08.01.26	Leksand - Linköping	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	Leksand - Skellefteå	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Rögle BK
SHL
17.01.26	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	4:6 ✺
15.01.26	Linköping - Rögle	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Rögle - Luleå	1:2 OT ✺
08.01.26	Timrå - Rögle	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Djurgården - Rögle	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
01.11.25	Leksand - Rögle	2:0
20.09.25	Rögle - Leksand	4:0
30.12.24	Rögle - Leksand	1:2
28.12.24	Leksand - Rögle	2:0
05.12.24	Rögle - Leksand	4:2
26.09.24	Leksand - Rögle	4:1
05.03.24	Rögle - Leksand	1:2

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