The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lethbridge Hurricanes 42.9%
Draw 20.7%
Moose Jaw Warriors 36.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.6%
20.2%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
18.8%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lethbridge Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Moose Jaw Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lethbridge Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lethbridge Hurricanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cleaver K. (G)
35. Wutzke C. (G)
4. Adair C.
55. Andresen K.
17. Anderson K.
19. Brown C.
29. Berge O. (A)
8. Carter C.
19. Chenier O.
12. Degagne W.
16. Daneault E.
16. Degenstein N.
9. Duell K.
26. Hirst B.
14. Evans J.
22. Lajoie M.
23. Fabrizi M.
7. McFadden L.
11. Heger K.
20. McKenzie P.
22. Kibblewhite H. (A)
2. Ness B. (C)
12. Lafournaise T.
4. Paquette N.
27. Lesiuk G.
45. Pavlik D.
28. Lima L.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
15. Longley K. (A)
14. Semeniuk E. (A)
24. Malinek T.
15. Steranka S.
5. Pichette G.
38. Thorpe R.
3. Scott W.
43. Trefny J.
21. Skadauskas M.
3. Williams C.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
Substitutes
31. Oaten L. (G)
33. Jones K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:37, 0 - 1, Andresen K. (G), Trefny J. (A),
06:53, 0 - 2, Brown C. (G), Trefny J. (A),
16:14, 1 - 2, Duell K. (G), Daneault E. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
11:27, 2 - 2, Daneault E. (G), Duell K. (A), Heger K. (A2)
16:30, 2 - 3, Brown C. (G), Ziprick A. (A), Andresen K. (A2)
17:33, 2 - 4, Carter C. (G), Paquette N. (A), McKenzie P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:03, 2 - 5, Semeniuk E. (G), Paquette N. (A),
05:02, 2 - 6, Ziprick A. (G),
16:04, 2 - 7, Pavlik D. (G), Lajoie M. (A), Thorpe R. (A2)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lethbridge won 4.
Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
Moose Jaw may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lethbridge won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 73:71. (average 3.7:3.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lethbridge won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:31. (average 4.2:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Lethbridge Hurricanes - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Moose Jaw Warriors - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.