Match Info

NMHL

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Lipetsk		Gvardiya Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.4	1.72
	3.15	4.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.18)	4.35 ↑ (4.25)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipetsk
26.9%

Draw
20.9%

Gvardiya Krasnodar
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

21.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

21.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Gvardiya Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:45, 1 - 0, Kharitonov A. (G), Richard M. (A), Bortnikov A. (A2)
02:35, 1 - 1, Mukhamedyarov A. (G), Kholodilin D. (A),
10:18, 2 - 1, Petukhov M. (G), Timokhin T. (A), Timoshenko S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:42, 2 - 2, Burambayev A. (G), Kiselyov D. (A), Aminov E. (A2)
04:00, 2 - 3, Mukhamedyarov A. (G), Sheshkov V. (A), Maksudov A. (A2)
10:29, 2 - 4, Sheshkov V. (G), Kiselyov D. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of away games.

Gvardiya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Lipetsk will win today's game, with odds of 3.24.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lipetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 2.6:6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lipetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 2:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lipetsk
RHL
19.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:4 ✺
16.10.25	Belgorod - Lipetsk	1:2 OT ✺
15.10.25	Belgorod - Lipetsk	2:4 ✺
10.10.25	Lipetsk - Bobrov	2:5 ✺
09.10.25	Lipetsk - Bobrov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWLW
- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
19.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:4 ✺
14.10.25	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:1 ✺
13.10.25	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:1 ✺
09.10.25	Ermak Angarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:1 ✺
08.10.25	Ermak Angarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
19.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:4
19.02.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Lipetsk	7:5
18.02.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Lipetsk	5:2
12.11.24	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:5
11.11.24	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:9

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