Match Info

NMHL

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Lipetsk		Samara

	1	X	2
	3	4.2	1.9
	2.72	4.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3)	4.4 ↑ (4.15)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipetsk
31.5%

Draw
20.5%

Samara
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

21.9%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

21.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lipetsk - Samara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02', 0 - 1, (G),

Preview

Lipetsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Samara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lipetsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Samara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lipetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Lipetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lipetsk
RHL
02.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	2:3 OT ✺
30.10.25	Lipetsk - Dizelist Penza	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Lipetsk - Dizelist Penza	0:4 ✺
20.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:4 ✺
19.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLLL
- HK Samara
RHL
02.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	2:3 OT ✺
28.10.25	Samara - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Samara - Ermak Angarsk	3:5 ✺
23.10.25	Samara - MHK Ryazan	3:4 ✺
22.10.25	Samara - MHK Ryazan	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
02.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	2:3 OT

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