Match Info

WORLD: WCH IA

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday


	Lithuania		South Korea

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.5	2.4	Watch
	2.45	4.75	2.15
	2.33	4.3	2.32
	2.39	4.39	2.09
	2.52	4.3	2.22
	2.18	4.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3)	4.47 ↑ (4.25)	2.28 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
38.9%

Draw
20.6%

South Korea
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

22%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

22%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Korea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lithuania that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Korea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Lithuania - South Korea Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). South Korea will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Relegation ~ WCH IB and 5).

Lithuania has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

South Korea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lithuania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lithuania won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.23	Lithuania - Italy	4:6 ✺
02.05.23	Great Britain - Lithuania	3:0 ✺
30.04.23	Lithuania - Romania	2:3 ✺
29.04.23	Poland - Lithuania	7:0 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
19.04.23	Lithuania - Ukraine	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- South Korea hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.23	South Korea - Poland	0:7 ✺
02.05.23	Romania - South Korea	2:5 ✺
30.04.23	Italy - South Korea	6:1 ✺
29.04.23	South Korea - Great Britain	0:4 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
24.04.23	Kazakhstan - South Korea	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IA
06.05.22	South Korea - Lithuania	3:5
04.05.19	South Korea - Lithuania	1:2
IIHF World Championship IB
18.04.15	Lithuania - South Korea	0:5
IIHF World Championship IA
16.04.12	South Korea - Lithuania	N/A

Lithuania - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide