Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Loko		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.5	5.96
	1.37	5.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.54)	5.55 ↑ (4.9)	5.98 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loko
67.9%

Draw
16.6%

Tolpar
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

19%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

18.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loko's performance.

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tolpar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Loko - Tolpar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:09, 1 - 0, Starkov V. (G), Shlyukov A. (A), Shokhrin R. (A2)
07:06, 2 - 0, Yelezov A. (G), Kuzin A. (A), Dudorov V. (A2)
12:16, 2 - 1, Khabibullin A. (G), Makarkin A. (A), Karasyov M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:59, 3 - 1, Andriyanov Y. (G), Magomedsultanov I. (A), Kotkov M. (A2)
15:28, 4 - 1, Yemelyanov K. (G), Shokhrin R. (A),
17:50, 4 - 2, Faizov A. (G), Karasev M. (A), Makarkin A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:38, 5 - 2, Zhukov S. (G), Sokol L. (A),
19:11, 6 - 2, Dudorov V. (G), Zhukov S. (A),

Preview

Loko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tolpar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Loko is a strong favorite.

We predict that Loko will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Loko Yaroslavl
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.25	Irbis Kazan - Loko	2:5 ✺
14.08.25	Loko - Chaika	7:1 ✺
11.08.25	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	5:1 ✺
01.08.25	MHC Spartak - Loko	6:4 ✺
31.07.25	MHC Spartak - Loko	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Tolpar Ufa
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	6:1 ✺
14.08.25	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	4:6 ✺
11.08.25	Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti	1:4 ✺
10.08.25	Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti	3:5 ✺
05.08.25	Reaktor - Tolpar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.08.22	Tolpar - Loko	1:2

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