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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Orsha 16.9%
Draw 19.1%
Brest 64%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.7%
19%
64.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
20.8%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-3%)
Lokomotiv Orsha - Brest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
42. Malkov A. (G)
30. Rumyantsev I. (G)
71. Kamenkov M.
28. Shikut A.
96. Gordeichik M.
15. Pozhigan O.
16. Borozna T.
27. Tsybin M.
10. Razvadovsky P.
7. Tyutchev D.
90. Kachan F.
47. Kuchkin S.
Line 2
33. Zozon B.
79. Soldatov R.
73. Yerokho V.
4. Kravchuk A.
28. Sobko D.
70. Mashkov V.
87. Savchenko N.
10. Melnikov M.
9. Nozdrachev Y.
11. Klavdiyev Y.
Line 3
21. Tolopilo M.
87. Gorin D.
88. Petruchik R.
91. Samchenko V.
24. Makarov V.
68. Nikitich A.
12. Speshilov I.
26. Shcheglov M.
19. Litvin N.
71. Paramonov D.
Line 4
14. Ignatsky N.
8. Martynyuk V.
97. Saglayev I.
35. Lazarevich G.
77. Shurinov I.
17. Zhigalov V.
11. Sidorov A.
18. Chemerinsky A.
27. Kalmykov D.
5. Khodorovich N.
Substitutes
79. Burunov M. (G)
29. Isayenko D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09:59, 0 - 1, Mashkov V. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:55, 0 - 2, Tyutchev D. (G), Pozhigan O. (A), Kuchkin S. (A2)
19:18, 1 - 2, Sobko D. (G), Zozon B. (A), Nozdrachev Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
10:14, 1 - 3, Nikitich A. (G),
11:04, 1 - 4, Pozhigan O. (G), Nikitich A. (A),
14:10, 1 - 5, Klavdiyev Y. (G), Shikut A. (A), Melnikov M. (A2)
18:22, 1 - 6, Pozhigan O. (G), Tsybin M. (A), Gorin D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Lokomotiv Orsha (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Brest has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Brest could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Brest has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Brest carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Orsha has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:49 (averaging 2.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Orsha against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 18:25 goals (averaging 2:2.8 per game).
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Malkov A. (G) 
Rumyantsev I. (G) 
Kamenkov M. 
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