Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Lokomotiv Orsha		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	4.04	4.38	1.68
	3.95	4.25	1.64
	4.10	4.30	1.61	Watch
	3.90	4.30	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (4)	4.31 ↓ (4.32)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Orsha
22.8%

Draw
21.2%

Neman Grodno
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

21.4%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.7%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 1.

Lokomotiv Orsha is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Neman have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Neman may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Neman for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Orsha has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:67 (averaging 2.5:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Orsha against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 25:27 goals (averaging 2.8:3 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Neman Grodno: 7.95% Lokomotiv Orsha: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Neman Grodno	11	2	2	1	6	22:28	9
12	Lokomotiv Orsha	11	1	2	1	7	27:46	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Orsha - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.08%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Neman Grodno - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.55%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
09.10.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	2:3 OT ✺
05.10.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:2 ✺
03.10.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:3 ✺
29.09.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	5:4 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWL
- HK Neman Grodno
Belarusian Extraleague
09.10.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	2:3 OT ✺
06.10.26	Neman Grodno - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	4:1 ✺
04.10.26	Neman Grodno - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Brest - Neman Grodno	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Brest - Neman Grodno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
09.10.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	2:3 OT
02.03.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:1
28.02.26	Neman Grodno - Lokomotiv Orsha	6:0
19.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	1:2
17.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	4:2
25.02.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	3:2
23.02.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno	0:2

Lokomotiv Orsha - Neman Grodno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide