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Current Win Probability
London Knights 35.5%
Draw 22.1%
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
21.8%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
25.3%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
London Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that London Knights's form might have worsened.
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Knights than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for London Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
78. Medvedev A. (G)
32. George C. (G)
34. Bidgood C.
71. Andrew C.
43. Brown R.
27. Charron J.
2. Brzustewicz H. (A)
22. Cloutier J.
6. Cook B.
14. Croskery C.
87. Cover J.
16. Evans S.
21. Crete M.
6. Fischer L.
4. Fimis A.
77. Fitzgerald C.
72. Hawkins K.
13. Hayes T. (A)
67. McAslan C.
91. Laus N.
77. Mitchell C.
44. Martin B. (C)
73. Nicholl W.
9. Martin J.
44. Nurmi J.
24. McKenzie Q.
17. Sokolovsky M.
26. Mignosa M. (A)
55. van Bommel R.
23. Pangretitsch H.
18. Vandeven J.
25. Reid C. (A)
14. van Gorp E.
12. Smith B.
66. Wassilyn B.
21. Winkelhofer J.
92. Xu J.
15. Zvolensky T.
71. Zakharov M.
Substitutes
33. Ronan S. (G)
36. Miller L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
02:14, 0 - 1, Mignosa M. (G), Martin B. (A),
07:52, 0 - 2, Reid C. (G), Fischer L. (A), Mignosa M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:44, 0 - 3, Mignosa M. (G), Martin B. (A), Martin J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:47, 0 - 4, Martin B. (G), Martin J. (A), Mignosa M. (A2)
Preview
Soo Greyhounds leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, London won 2.
Recent form of London has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sault Ste. Marie has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, London won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 70:65. (average 3.5:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, London won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 3.3:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
London Knights - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Medvedev A. (G) 
George C. (G) 
Andrew C. 
Nurmi J. 
Winkelhofer J. 
Zvolensky T. 
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