The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 47%
Draw 21.2%
Windsor Spitfires 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.4%
21.7%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
22.6%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Windsor Spitfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Vermirovsky D. (G)
30. Newlove M. (G)
20. Anderson C.
7. Bergeron T.
8. Ashcroft C.
42. Brocklehurst M.
28. Brown C.
5. Brown J.
27. Charron J. (A)
44. Cristoforo A. (A)
14. Croskery C.
13. Debruyn J.
83. Daley T.
77. Garden E. (C)
16. Evans S. (A)
25. Gram D.
77. Fitzgerald C.
11. Harvey C.
13. Hayes T. (C)
22. Havusic H.
91. Laus N.
16. Inskip I.
74. Licastro J.
8. Makysh B.
11. Long N.
3. Marentette T.
93. Martin J.
17. McLaughlin J.
24. McKenzie Q. (A)
27. Robinson A. (A)
6. Moore L.
21. Spicer G.
12. Smith B.
91. Svrcek M.
22. Szongoth D.
28. Walton C. (A)
21. Winkelhofer J.
88. Whelan L.
87. Yakushevsky B.
Substitutes
36. Miller L. (G)
34. Windbiel J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
13:44, 1 - 0, Fitzgerald C. (G), McKenzie Q. (A), Winkelhofer J. (A2)
14:51, 2 - 0, Croskery C. (G), Szongoth D. (A), Anderson C. (A2)
16:34, 2 - 1, Bergeron T. (G), Gram D. (A),
18:41, 2 - 2, Yakushevsky B. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:34, 3 - 2, Laus N. (G), Hayes T. (A), Fitzgerald C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:32, 3 - 3, McLaughlin J. (G), Debruyn J. (A), Cristoforo A. (A2)
10:35, 3 - 4, Yakushevsky B. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Debruyn J. (A2)
15:47, 4 - 4, Winkelhofer J. (G), Charron J. (A), Long N. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:58, 5 - 4, Croskery C. (G), Brown C. (A), Laus N. (A2)
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sault Ste. Marie won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Sault Ste. Marie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Windsor has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sault Ste. Marie holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Sault Ste. Marie in today's match, at odds of 2.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sault Ste. Marie has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:88 (averaging 3:4.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sault Ste. Marie against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:34 goals (averaging 2.9:3.8 per game).