Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Lukko U20		JYP U20

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.50	3.25
	1.62	4.65	3.66
	1.6	4.65	4.08	Watch
	1.60	4.60	3.60
	1.61	4.40	4.02
	1.61	4.50	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.15)	4.55 ↑ (3.87)	3.71 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
55.9%

Draw
19.8%

JYP U20
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

23.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukko U20's performance.

JYP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JYP U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukko U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JYP U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lukko U20 - JYP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 2.

Lukko U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

JYP U20 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, JYP U20 has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lukko U20 in today's match, at odds of 2.15.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lukko U20 has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:66 (averaging 2.6:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lukko U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 25:24 goals (averaging 2.8:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
13	Jyvaskyla U20	9	3	1	1	4	27:31	12

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko U20 - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.52%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.09.26	Lukko U20 - Kärpät U20	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Lukko U20	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	5:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWLW
- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.09.26	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pelicans U20 - JYP U20	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	8:7 penalties ✺
04.09.26	RoKi U20 - JYP U20	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
12.12.25	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:3
12.10.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties
11.01.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	0:3
06.12.24	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	4:1
10.12.23	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	5:4 penalties
04.11.22	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:3
05.02.22	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	3:2 penalties

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