Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Lukko U20		Jokerit U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.55	3.18
	2.83	4.26	2.01	Watch
	1.72	4.15	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.77)	4.32 ↑ (4.25)	2.97 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
45.6%

Draw
22.2%

Jokerit U20
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

21.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

20.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukko U20's form might have worsened.

Jokerit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jokerit U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukko U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jokerit U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:46, 0 - 1, Kamarainen N. (G), Tainio R. (A), Stromberg B. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:25, 0 - 2, Alanko R. (G), Mand J. (A), Rasanen V. (A2)
10:16, 1 - 2, Sahlstedt L. (G), Floris J. (A), Lehtosaari V. (A2)
12:01, 1 - 3, Alanko R. (G), Turunen S. (A), Aaltonen J. (A2)
16:35, 2 - 3, Lehtosaari V. (G), Floris J. (A), Vechet P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:19, 2 - 4, Mand J. (G), Alanko R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 3.

Lukko U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jokerit U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lukko U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lukko U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:64. (average 3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:33. (average 3.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.25	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	Jokerit U20 - KooKoo U20	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Jokerit U20 - Kärpät U20	3:5 ✺
13.09.25	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jokerit U20 - TPS U20	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.09.25	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	5:1
17.01.25	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	0:3
17.11.24	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	4:1
06.01.24	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	4:3
07.10.23	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	4:5
02.12.22	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 OT
09.09.22	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	3:5

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