Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Lukko U20		Vaasan Sport U20

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.6	2.6
	1.75	4.12	3.44
	1.75	4.32	3.54	Watch
	1.7	4	3.5
	1.73	4.2	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	4.25 ↓ (4.35)	3.33 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
51.5%

Draw
21.3%

Vaasan Sport U20
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

21.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

22.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Lukko U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:00, 1 - 0, Suominen J. (G), Pulakka V. (A),
05:29, 2 - 0, Joki A. (G), Tuuva L. (A), Salonen T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:43, 3 - 0, Sahlstedt E. (G), Sahlstedt L. (A), Joki A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vaasan Sport U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vaasan Sport U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lukko U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:37. (average 2.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 3.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
16	Vaasan Sport U20	9	1	1	1	6	29:37	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.03.26	Ässät U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Lukko U20 - KooKoo U20	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:5 ✺
20.02.26	KooKoo U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.02.26	Tappara U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	8:0 ✺
26.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - JYP U20	2:6 ✺
21.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - RoKi U20	6:2 ✺
20.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - KooKoo U20	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	1:2
25.10.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	2:3 OT
20.01.24	Lukko U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 penalties
Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.09.22	Lukko U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 OT
04.09.21	Lukko U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:0
27.11.20	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	1:5

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