Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	SaiPa U20		Lukko U20

	1	X	2
	3.17	4.3	1.86	Watch
	3.2	4.2	1.75
	3.13	4.15	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	4.22 ↓ (4.35)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
28.7%

Draw
21.5%

Lukko U20
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

21.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

23%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
18:13, 0 - 1, Lehtosaari V. (G),
18:29, 0 - 2, Lehtosaari V. (G), Pulakka V. (A), Vechet P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:21, 0 - 3, Lehtosaari V. (G), Vechet P. (A), Suominen J. (A2)
14:20, 1 - 3, Zezelj A. (G), Kytovaara E. (A), Hora V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:29, 1 - 4, Floris J. (G), Lehtosaari V. (A), Vechet P. (A2)
18:01, 1 - 5, Lehtosaari V. (G), Vatjus M. (A), Sahlstedt D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 2.

Recent form of SaiPa U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lukko U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lukko U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SaiPa U20 has had a series of home games.

Lukko U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:58. (average 3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 3.1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa U20 - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Lukko U20 - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Ilves U20	4:9 ✺
13.02.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	2:5 ✺
31.01.26	SaiPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	SaiPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	4:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.02.26	KooKoo U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties ✺
14.02.26	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	2:4 ✺
13.02.26	Lukko U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	5:1 ✺
11.02.26	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	5:4 ✺
30.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.10.25	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	3:0
06.03.25	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	3:1
30.11.24	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2
16.02.24	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	3:8
12.01.24	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	4:1
05.01.24	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	2:4
14.10.22	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	4:1

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