Match Info

SHL - Round 7

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Luleå		Malmö Redhawks

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.75	4
	1.80	4.33	3.50
	1.85	4.3	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.9	3.41
	1.9	4.11	3.36	Watch
	1.87	3.8	3.3
	1.87	4.25	3.42	Watch
	1.83	4.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.76)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	3.51 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
50.9%

Draw
22.4%

Malmö Redhawks
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

22.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Malmö Redhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Luleå - Malmö Redhawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Lassinantti J. (G)	94. Langhamer M. (G)
27. Laaksonen O. (A)	28. Myrenberg J.
82. Leskinen O.	12. Dahlbeck K. (C)
48. Puustinen V.	91. Sundberg A.
91. O'Neill B. (A)	78. Hanzl R.
6. Hedqvist I.	95. Persson C.
Line 2
26. Sjostrom O.	7. Kaski O.
23. Sellgren J. (C)	6. Viro E.
51. Nurmi M.	48. Pajuniemi L.
45. Koppanen J.	22. Kuokkanen J. (A)
76. Levtchi A.	43. Eklind O.
Line 3
39. Sjalin P. (A)	51. Diliberatore P.
32. Engsund O.	26. Noren P. (A)
17. Brannstrom I.	9. Pettersson H.
25. Eriksson F.	13. Vesterheim P.
86. Brome M.	10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.
Line 4
11. Linder I.	11. Pedrotti E.
72. Tardif B.	27. Born I.
96. Andreasson P.	20. Berg-Paulsen T.
15. Granberg D.	24. Bjorkman F.
Substitutes
20. Juustovaara Karlsson C.	40. Blomgren O. (G)
31. Ward M. (G)	71. Nilsson I.
Coaches
. Hall D.	. Kollar T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Malmö could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Luleå has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Luleå is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Luleå has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:34 (averaging 3.1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Luleå against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 37:14 goals (averaging 3.7:1.4 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Lulea: 8.05% Malmo: 2.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Lulea	6	3	0	0	3	16:20	9
10	Malmo	5	1	1	2	1	13:14	7

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.61%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
03.10.26	Örebro - Luleå	1:4 ✺
01.10.26	Linköping - Luleå	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	6:1 ✺
26.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	4:2 ✺
24.09.26	Luleå - Frölunda	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL
- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
03.10.26	Malmö Redhawks - Brynäs	1:0 ✺
01.10.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 OT ✺
26.09.26	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Växjö Lakers - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 OT ✺
19.09.26	HV71 - Malmö Redhawks	4:5 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
29.01.26	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:3
20.12.25	Malmö Redhawks - Luleå	4:6
01.11.25	Malmö Redhawks - Luleå	3:1
13.09.25	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:0
22.02.25	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	3:1
09.01.25	Malmö Redhawks - Luleå	4:1
21.11.24	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:2

Luleå - Malmö Redhawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide