Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)

Referee: Kova J. (Fin) - Kohlmuller L. (Ger)


	Luleå		Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams

	1	X	2
	1.35	6.5	4.75	Watch
	1.48	5.5	4.5
	1.38	5.3	5.75
	1.38	5	6.4
	1.37	5.58	5.67
	1.36	5.5	4.8
	1.39	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.36	7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	5.7 ↑ (4.68)	5.47 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
66.9%

Draw
16.2%

Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

19.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

19.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luleå's performance.

Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luleå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	10.3%	0%

Luleå - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams Predictions

Users Predictions: Luleå will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-2.

Luleå is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wolfsburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luleå could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Luleå is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Luleå to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luleå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
19.11.22	Luleå - Oskarshamn	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
15.11.22	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Luleå	2:3 ✺
SHL
05.11.22	Luleå - Örebro	4:1 ✺
03.11.22	Luleå - Brynäs	1:4 ✺
29.10.22	HV71 - Luleå	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams
German Ice Hockey League
20.11.22	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	2:5 ✺
18.11.22	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Straubing Tigers	5:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
15.11.22	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Luleå	2:3 ✺
German Ice Hockey League
06.11.22	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	5:1 ✺
04.11.22	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Frankfurt Lions	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
15.11.22	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Luleå	2:3

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