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Current Win Probability
Magnitka Magnitogorsk 48.2%
Draw 24.3%
CSK VVS Samara 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
23.6%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
27.9%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magnitka Magnitogorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Magnitka (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Magnitka (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Kramzin Y. (G)
43. Volkov G. (G)
21. Yegorov A.
58. Shumilov V.
98. Ganabin Y.
24. Chibrikov I. (A)
71. Karapetyan D.
7. Glazunov M.
97. Galenyuk M.
97. Salnikov L. (A)
8. Demchenko V. (A)
95. Spiridonov D.
Line 2
4. Zhloba N. (C)
77. Paskin Y.
32. Shetle E.
34. Ostrovsky S.
10. Osipovich B.
10. Odinokov S.
13. Zimin N. (A)
19. Galimov A. (C)
74. Zhugin V.
9. Axyonov A.
Line 3
63. Vaulin M.
44. Istyufeyev D.
37. Gololobov D.
68. Onishko A.
88. Fateyev Y.
51. Rakhimov R.
34. Sysoyev D.
91. Nasyrov M.
23. Kotkov V.
42. Galiyev E.
Line 4
15. Poltavchuk N.
88. Gavrilov L.
9. Kushnaryov A.
76. Zhukov S.
25. Serazetdinov D.
13. Bazhukhin A.
68. Golnik R.
78. Gosudarev A.
Substitutes
70. Dyubin A. (G)
79. Kiselyov Y. (G)
54. Penzin Y.
55. Kruzhenkov G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:43, 1 - 0, Demchenko V. (G), Galenyuk M. (A), Ganabin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:29, 2 - 0, Osipovich B. (G), Zhugin V. (A), Zimin N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:53, 3 - 0, Galenyuk M. (G),
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Magnitka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Magnitka has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, CSK VVS has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Magnitka holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Magnitka has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 2.5:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Magnitka against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).
Watch
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Kramzin Y. (G) 
Demchenko V. (A) 
Shetle E. 
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