Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: CSKA Arena (Small arena) (Moscow)


	Zvezda Moscow		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.43	2.44
	2.20	3.30	2.35
	2.49	3.90	2.43	Watch
	2.42	3.80	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.73)	3.61 ↓ (3.94)	2.41 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
38.1%

Draw
24.8%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

23.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zvezda Moscow will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
23. Grushnikov A.	21. Yegorov A.
7. Malyshev A. (A)	98. Ganabin Y.
97. Churkin A.	71. Karapetyan D.
74. Frolov N.	97. Galenyuk M.
56. Vlasenko D. (A)	8. Demchenko V. (A)
Line 2
63. Martynov Y.	32. Shetle E.
15. Alexandrov D. (C)	4. Zhloba N. (C)
87. Yapparov Y.	10. Osipovich B.
98. Pankratov S.	13. Zimin N. (A)
19. Prokhorov A.	74. Zhugin V.
Line 3
3. Sidorov M.	63. Vaulin M.
73. Rusakov A.	15. Poltavchuk N.
84. Lagoda G.	86. Kurichev N.
53. Matveiko Y.	34. Sysoev D.
42. Savvateyev V.	23. Kotkov V.
Line 4
36. Shelkov M.	95. Ilyev I.
37. Mikhailov N.	5. Mukhranov Y.
75. Averochkin M.	9. Kushnaryov A.
39. Sklokin M.	25. Serazetdinov D.
	68. Golnik R.
Substitutes
81. Kloberdanets M. (G)	70. Dyubin A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:23, 0 - 1, Karapetyan D. (G), Ganabin Y. (A), Galenyuk M. (A2)
13:07, 1 - 1, Lagoda G. (G),
14:30, 2 - 1, Lagoda G. (G), Matveiko Y. (A), Shelkov M. (A2)
17:04, 2 - 2, Zimin N. (G), Zhugin V. (A), Osipovich B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:15, 3 - 2, Sidorov M. (G), Averochkin M. (A),
19:25, 4 - 2, Churkin A. (G),

Preview

In recent outings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Magnitka has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Magnitka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda Moscow against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
22	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	10	4	0	4	2	21:18	12
23	Zvezda Moscow	13	3	2	1	7	31:40	11

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
18.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
13.09.26	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
09.09.26	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
18.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
08.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 OT ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	0:1
18.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1
16.02.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:2
05.10.24	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:0

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