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Current Win Probability
SKA-VMF 50.7%
Draw 24.6%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk 24.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.9%
24.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
26.4%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SKA-VMF's performance.
Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magnitka Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA-VMF that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magnitka Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SKA VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
87. Popov D. (G)
20. Kramzin Y. (G)
57. Sevostyanov A.
21. Yegorov A.
85. Zhuravlev Y.
63. Vaulin M.
72. Kazakov M.
10. Osipovich B.
15. Busarov G. (C)
97. Galenyuk M.
10. Popov D.
23. Kotkov V.
Line 2
8. Barantsev D. (A)
32. Shetle E.
14. Shekhovtsov Y.
4. Zhloba N. (C)
91. Lutfullin I.
88. Fateyev Y. (A)
47. Nedopyokin N.
13. Zimin N. (A)
71. Korotky M.
74. Zhugin V.
Line 3
5. Yarullin A.
87. Ananyin Y.
6. Lukichyov A.
11. Romanov R.
38. Gurzanov Y.
71. Karapetyan D.
32. Barabanov V.
54. Penzin Y.
18. Slivchenko M.
96. Boltanov A.
Line 4
81. Varlakov A.
15. Poltavchuk N.
88. Kapchuk S.
5. Mukhranov Y.
95. Shevchenko D. (A)
9. Kushnaryov A.
97. Nugmanov A.
25. Serazetdinov D.
68. Golnik R.
Substitutes
73. Podlyagin N. (G)
70. Dyubin A. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:21, 1 - 0, Korotky M. (G), Nedopyokin N. (A), Yarullin A. (A2)
19:55, 1 - 1, Zimin N. (G), Osipovich B. (A), Kotkov V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Busarov G. (Penalty Shot),
1, Boltanov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Korotky M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zimin N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nedopyokin N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kotkov V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Popov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Osipovich B. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
SKA-VMF has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Magnitka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.
SKA-VMF could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
15
8
2
1
4
41:23
21
21
Magnitka Magnitogorsk
14
5
0
6
3
29:29
16
Last Results with these Odds
SKA-VMF - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Popov D. (G) 
Shetle E. 
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