Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Maine Black Bears		Merrimack Warriors

	1	X	2
	2.18	4.35	2.4
	2.21	4.15	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	4.25 ↓ (4.4)	2.41 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maine Black Bears
41.2%

Draw
21.3%

Merrimack Warriors
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

20.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

22.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maine Black Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maine Black Bears than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5.

Maine is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Merrimack has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Maine has had a series of home games.

Recently, Merrimack has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:11. (average 3.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Maine won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 4.7:1.7).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Merrimack Warriors: 1.66% Maine Black Bears: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maine Black Bears hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:3 ✺
14.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Connecticut Huskies	3:4 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Connecticut Huskies	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Boston University Terriers - Maine Black Bears	3:2 OT ✺
31.01.26	Maine Black Bears - Providence Friars	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:3 ✺
14.02.26	Boston College Eagles - Merrimack Warriors	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Boston College Eagles	4:2 ✺
03.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Merrimack Warriors	5:9 ✺
31.01.26	New Hampshire Wildcats - Merrimack Warriors	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:3
02.11.24	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	6:0
04.11.23	Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears	4:5
03.11.23	Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears	1:2
05.02.23	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	3:2 OT
11.11.22	Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears	1:0

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