Match Info

SHL

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Malmö Arena (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3


	Malmö Redhawks		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.2	2.3	Watch
	2.68	4.04	2.32
	2.62	3.5	2.35
	2.66	3.77	2.36	Watch
	2.6	3.8	2.25
	2.67	3.96	2.29	Watch
	2.55	4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)	3.9 ↑ (3.79)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö Redhawks
35.5%

Draw
24.1%

Luleå
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

24.7%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

23%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö Redhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Malmö Redhawks - Luleå Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Luleå will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Langhamer M. (G)	31. Ward M. (G)
49. Barton S.	3. Allard F.
42. Salo R.	29. Gustafsson E.
91. Sundberg A.	24. Shinnimin B.
63. Handemark F.	91. O'Neill B.
95. Persson C.	72. Tardif B.
Line 2
7. Niemela T.	27. Laaksonen O.
6. Viro E.	82. Leskinen O.
48. Pajuniemi L.	67. Omark L.
22. Kuokkanen J.	96. Andreasson P.
32. Ikonen Jo.	6. Hedqvist I.
Line 3
4. Schreiber M.	39. Sjalin P.
11. Pedrotti E.	23. Sellgren J.
12. Oberg L.	25. Eriksson F.
78. Hanzl R.	13. Koivistoinen E.
20. Berg-Paulsen T.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
14. Lerby C.	32. Engsund O.
71. Nilsson I.	51. Nurmi M.
13. Vesterheim P.	9. Liedes H.
10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.	76. Levtchi A.
Substitutes
40. Blomgren O. (G)	15. Granberg D.
9. Hemstrom K.	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
Coaches
. Kollar T.	. Berglund T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
05:42, Persson C. (2 min),
06:33, 0 - 1, Gustafsson E. (G), O'Neill B. (A), Allard F. (A2)
08:52, 0 - 2, Tardif B. (G), O'Neill B. (A), Shinnimin B. (A2)
15:44, 0 - 3, Allard F. (G), Brome M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
07:50, 0 - 4, Andreasson P. (G), Hedqvist I. (A), Sellgren J. (A2)
10:10, Tardif B. (2 min),
10:58, 1 - 4, Persson C. (G), Kuokkanen J. (A), Pajuniemi L. (A2)
12:54, Liedes H. (2 min),
14:44, 2 - 4, Handemark F. (G), Salo R. (A), Pajuniemi L. (A2)
16:15, Niemela T. (2 min),
19:50, (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
05:27, 2 - 5, Levtchi A. (G), Sellgren J. (A), Nurmi M. (A2)
06:11, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
08:12, 3 - 5, Oberg L. (G), Berg-Paulsen T. (A), Hanzl R. (A2)
08:22, von Barnekow-Lofberg W. (2 min),
08:22, Allard F. (2 min),
08:22, Allard F. (2 min),
09:41, 4 - 5, Sundberg A. (G), Berg-Paulsen T. (A), Langhamer M. (A2)
18:15, 4 - 6, O'Neill B. (G),
18:15, Barton S. (2 min),
20:00, Berg-Paulsen T. (2 min),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 2.

Malmö is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Luleå has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Malmö may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 32:57. (average 1.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.1:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Luleå - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
18.12.25	Leksand - Malmö Redhawks	2:3 penalties ✺
06.12.25	HV71 - Malmö Redhawks	1:4 ✺
04.12.25	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Malmö Redhawks - Djurgården	5:3 ✺
27.11.25	Färjestad - Malmö Redhawks	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWWW
- Luleå HF
SHL
18.12.25	Växjö Lakers - Luleå	1:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
16.12.25	Ilves - Luleå	0:3 ✺
SHL
06.12.25	Luleå - Färjestad	2:5 ✺
04.12.25	Luleå - Växjö Lakers	2:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
02.12.25	Luleå - Ilves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
01.11.25	Malmö Redhawks - Luleå	3:1
13.09.25	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:0
22.02.25	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	3:1
09.01.25	Malmö Redhawks - Luleå	4:1
21.11.24	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:2
03.10.24	Malmö Redhawks - Luleå	3:2 OT
13.02.24	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:2

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