The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mamonty Yugry 31.9%
Draw 22.8%
Irbis Kazan 45.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
23.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
24.4%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamonty Yugry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamonty Yugry's form might have worsened.
Irbis Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Irbis Kazan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamonty Yugry than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamonty Yugry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Irbis Kazan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mamonty Yugry - Irbis Kazan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Fudymovsky M. (G)
1. Grigoryev G. (G)
93. Kharitonov T.
64. Nikitin K.
23. Potapov F.
16. Istomin D.
96. Lytkin A.
19. Onishko N. (A)
68. Sukharev K. (A)
10. Galeyev I. (A)
92. Gurevich I. (A)
94. Sakhapov T. (C)
Line 2
44. Shevtsov V. (C)
57. Aibatov D.
57. Bloshenko A.
77. Gainullin I.
98. Tsyplakov G.
93. Khusayenov R.
84. Galimuk R.
92. Bokarev I.
71. Burakov N.
11. Gimayev S.
Line 3
86. Manuilov A.
4. Khatibullin S.
43. Nagovitsyn A.
81. Fazlov M.
15. Konyukov A.
17. Kalimullin A.
63. Izyurov A.
37. Kolomytsev I.
10. Starostin D.
15. Kamalov A.
Line 4
3. Kruglov M.
28. Burkov S.
14. Malykhin T.
97. Buzayev K.
24. Andriyevsky S.
44. Antonov Y.
77. Kochurin S.
84. Ovchinnikov A.
Substitutes
25. Didenko D. (G)
63. Gatiyatulin A.
21. Menshchikov I.
72. Konovalov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
02:41, 0 - 1, Nikitin K. (G), Khusayenov R. (A),
07:03, 0 - 2, Bokarev I. (G), Onishko N. (A), Khusayenov R. (A2)
16:19, 0 - 3, Gayev V. (G), Nikitin K. (A), Onishko N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:43, 0 - 4, Khusayenov R. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamonty Yugry won 1.
In recent matches, Mamonty Yugry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Irbis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Irbis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Mamonty Yugry will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamonty Yugry won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:43. (average 2.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mamonty Yugry won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Irbis Kazan - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Fudymovsky M. (G) 
Kolomytsev I. 
Antonov Y. 
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