Match Info

MHL

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Mamonty Yugry		Chaika

	1	X	2
	1.98	4	3.07
	1.95	3.98	3.08	Watch
	2.05	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.16)	3.99 ↓ (4.4)	2.95 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamonty Yugry
46%

Draw
23%

Chaika
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

21.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

22.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamonty Yugry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamonty Yugry than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+3%)

Mamonty Yugry - Chaika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
25. Didenko D. (G)	74. Sabitov M. (G)
91. Sakharov M. (C)	65. Chesnokov I.
23. Potapov F.	81. Mullerov I.
85. Frolov G.	75. Melnikov Y.
68. Sukharev K. (A)	15. Matyuk A.
92. Gurevich I.	9. Skvortsov S.
Line 2
44. Shevtsov V.	23. Guryev S.
22. Khabarov M.	28. Gavrilov L. (C)
14. Malykhin T.	17. Salnikov L.
84. Galimuk R.	12. Mishin V.
77. Kochurin S.	16. Bessonov A. (A)
Line 3
5. Podguzov A. (A)	72. Salnikov A.
86. Manuilov A.	44. Yatsenko A.
98. Tsyplakov G.	91. Opolinsky M.
72. Kaliyev A.	7. Glazunov M. (A)
10. Starostin D.	77. Stafeyev G.
Line 4
3. Kruglov M.	51. Izmailov N.
43. Nagovitsyn A.	71. Laptev V.
15. Konyukov A.	5. Gornov S.
63. Izyurov A.	97. Kulyabin A.
71. Burakov N.
Substitutes
29. Fudymovsky M. (G)	30. Gritsenko Y. (G)
	8. Kozin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:54, 0 - 1, Salnikov L. (G), Guryev S. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:23, 0 - 2, Melnikov Y. (G), Chesnokov I. (A),
07:39, 0 - 3, Salnikov A. (G),
11:41, 1 - 3, Starostin D. (G), Potapov F. (A), Tsyplakov G. (A2)
13:02, 2 - 3, Shevtsov V. (G), Gurevich I. (A), Sukharev K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamonty Yugry won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mamonty Yugry has had a series of away games.

Mamonty Yugry could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamonty Yugry won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 36:40. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamonty Yugry won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaika - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.69%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamonty Yugry
MHL
11.02.26	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Avto - Mamonty Yugry	4:0 ✺
02.02.26	Avto - Mamonty Yugry	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Belye Medvedi - Mamonty Yugry	2:1 OT ✺
29.01.26	Belye Medvedi - Mamonty Yugry	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL
- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
11.02.26	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Chaika - Reaktor	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Chaika - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:3 ✺
24.01.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Chaika	5:6 OT ✺
21.01.26	Loko-76 - Chaika	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
11.02.26	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	1:0
17.12.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	5:1
16.12.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	2:1
18.04.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	4:1
17.04.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	2:1
14.04.25	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	1:2 penalties
13.04.25	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	2:1 penalties

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