The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester Storm 37%
Draw 21.8%
Guildford Flames 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
22%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
24.6%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Guildford Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester Storm than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guildford Flames than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Weninger E. (G)
1. Arvanitis B. (G)
90. Dow D.
26. Kallen N.
47. Kudla P.
71. Boudrias K.
14. Ulett L.
95. Sanford C.
19. Gilmour B.
63. Gosselin M.
96. Karlsson A.
91. Waller J.
Line 2
4. Busby D.
59. Willets J.
7. Clavelle B.
77. Power J.
29. Cutler B.
27. Gresock C.
23. McGauley T.
28. Alvaro M. (C)
88. Hook L.
67. Ducharme J.
Line 3
5. Locke K.
8. McFaul D.
8. Jenion B.
5. Racine J.
12. Johnson S. (C)
68. Neumann B.
13. Nardi J. (A)
98. Talbot S.
9. Maksimovich K.
24. Milton Z.
Line 4
71. Lee C.
79. Dudek J.
74. Francis R.
Substitutes
42. de la Bertouche T. (G)
40. Fazio J. (G)
19. Lewis E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
17:24, 1 - 0, McGauley T. (G), Kudla P. (A), Gilmour B. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
10:00, 2 - 0, Dow D. (G), Karlsson A. (A), Ulett L. (A2)
16:40, 3 - 0, Hook L. (G), Cutler B. (A), Kudla P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
03:02, 3 - 1, Sanford C. (G), Waller J. (A), Power J. (A2)
04:33, 3 - 2, Gosselin M. (G), Waller J. (A), Sanford C. (A2)
07:35, 3 - 3, Gosselin M. (G), Waller J. (A), Power J. (A2)
07:55, 4 - 3, Hook L. (G), Jenion B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Manchester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Manchester has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Manchester has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:64 (averaging 2.9:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Manchester against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 35:27 goals (averaging 3.2:2.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Guildford Flames - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.