Match Info

AHL

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	Flohockey


	Manitoba Moose		Calgary Wranglers

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6	Watch
	2.16	4.1	2.65
	2.17	4.13	2.71
	2.16	4.18	2.72	Watch
	2.15	4	2.7
	2.17	3.98	2.65	Watch
	2.2	4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.39)	4.06 ↑ (3.96)	2.65 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manitoba Moose
42.6%

Draw
22.7%

Calgary Wranglers
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

22.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manitoba Moose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manitoba Moose that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calgary Wranglers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. DiVincentiis D. (G)	35. Sergeev A. (G)
28. Anderson-Dolan J.	22. Bell P.
39. Barlow C.	19. Bishop C. (C)
2. Bauer T.	48. Brzustewicz H.
19. Chibrikov N.	41. Cicek N. (A)
56. Clague K.	17. Ciona L.
34. Di Giuseppe P. (A)	29. Frk M.
7. Duehr W.	18. Gridin M.
16. Fagemo S.	6. Kerins R.
25. Ford P.	44. King C.
27. Gustafsson D.	23. Kirkland J.
14. Heinola V.	26. Miromanov D.
24. Julien J.	21. Morin E.
3. Phillips I.	45. Morton S. (A)
44. Salomonsson E.	2. Ottenbreit T.
6. Sautner A. (A)	11. Stromgren W.
18. Shaw M. (C)	36. Suniev A.
29. Yager B.	8. White G.
17. Zhilkin D.	16. Wilkie C.
Substitutes
32. Milic T. (G)	50. Prosvetov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:37, 1 - 0, Heinola V. (G), Shaw M. (A), Gustafsson D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:09, 2 - 0, Gustafsson D. (G),
16:55, 2 - 1, Kerins R. (G), Morton S. (A), Gridin M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
15:41, 2 - 2, Kerins R. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Stromgren W. (Penalty Shot),
1, Chibrikov N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kirkland J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zhilkin D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gridin M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Heinola V. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 3.

Recent performances by Manitoba have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Calgary is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Calgary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Manitoba will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:71. (average 2.9:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 3.1:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manitoba Moose
AHL
14.02.26	Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Texas Stars - Manitoba Moose	4:3 ✺
06.02.26	Texas Stars - Manitoba Moose	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Manitoba Moose - Rockford IceHogs	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Manitoba Moose - Rockford IceHogs	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW
- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
14.02.26	Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Calgary Wranglers - Tucson Roadrunners	5:6 OT ✺
06.02.26	Calgary Wranglers - Tucson Roadrunners	3:7 ✺
03.02.26	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	3:2 OT ✺
31.01.26	San Jose Barracuda - Calgary Wranglers	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
14.02.26	Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers	5:1
09.03.25	Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers	2:3
08.03.25	Manitoba Moose - Calgary Wranglers	6:5
05.01.25	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	2:3
03.01.25	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	5:4 OT
11.12.24	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	6:3
10.12.24	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	6:1

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