Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Manitoba Moose		Milwaukee Admirals

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.8	2.15	Watch
	2.45	3.95	2.39
	2.42	4.04	2.44
	2.42	4.1	2.42	Watch
	2.5	3.9	2.25
	2.4	3.88	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.64)	3.95 ↓ (3.97)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manitoba Moose
37.3%

Draw
23.3%

Milwaukee Admirals
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

23.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.1%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manitoba Moose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Milwaukee Admirals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Admirals than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milwaukee Admirals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. DiVincentiis D. (G)	32. Murray M. (G)
28. Anderson-Dolan J.	22. Element S.
47. Anhorn D.	6. Gibson A.
39. Barlow C.	5. Gravel K. (C)
2. Bauer T.	7. Gustafsson V.
56. Clague K.	25. Kemell J.
34. Di Giuseppe P.	68. L'Heureux Z.
7. Duehr W.	48. Lind K.
16. Fagemo S.	19. Lucchini J. (A)
25. Ford P.	28. Martin B.
27. Gustafsson D.	50. Molendyk T.
13. Lambert B.	82. Oesterle J. (A)
3. Phillips I.	77. O'Hara C.
44. Salomonsson E.	15. Ratcliffe I.
6. Sautner A.	18. Rolston R.
18. Shaw M.	49. Schaefer R.
33. Wahlin L.	12. Ufko R.
29. Yager B.	88. Wiesblatt O.
17. Zhilkin D.	13. Willis J.
Substitutes
32. Milic T. (G)	30. Chrona M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
11:43, 1 - 0, Duehr W. (G), Gustafsson D. (A), Anhorn D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:38, 2 - 0, Fagemo S. (G), Gustafsson D. (A), Duehr W. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:16, 2 - 1, Lucchini J. (G), Oesterle J. (A), Schaefer R. (A2)

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 3.

Recent performances by Manitoba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Milwaukee is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Manitoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Milwaukee has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 50:71. (average 2.5:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.6:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Manitoba Moose - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manitoba Moose
AHL
24.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	1:4 ✺
18.04.26	Iowa Wild - Manitoba Moose	1:6 ✺
17.04.26	Iowa Wild - Manitoba Moose	3:2 penalties ✺
15.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Manitoba Moose	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL
- Milwaukee Admirals
AHL
24.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Milwaukee Admirals	5:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chicago Wolves - Milwaukee Admirals	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Grand Rapids Griffins	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
24.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	2:1
22.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	1:4
08.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	0:7
07.04.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	4:3
19.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	3:1
18.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	0:4
01.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Manitoba Moose	4:3 OT

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