Match Info

SWITZERLAND: SWISS LEAGUE

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Referee: Massy D. (Sui) - Fausel F. (Sui)


	Martigny		Thurgau

	1	X	2
	1.57	5	4.1
	1.62	4.45	3.85
	1.7	4.51	4.06
	1.55	4.5	4.2
	1.65	4.2	3.98
	1.54	4.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.33)	4.59 ↓ (4.7)	4.07 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigny
57.3%

Draw
20%

Thurgau
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

19.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

19.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martigny's performance.

Thurgau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thurgau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigny than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martigny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thurgau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Martigny - Thurgau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Martigny could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martigny will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Martigny won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Martigny won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HCV Martigny
Swiss League Hockey
19.12.23	Sierre - Martigny	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Martigny - Winterthur	4:0 ✺
07.12.23	Visp - Martigny	4:2 ✺
05.12.23	EHC Basel - Martigny	5:2 ✺
02.12.23	Martigny - Visp	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
17.12.23	Thurgau - GCK Lions	7:1 ✺
10.12.23	Thurgau - La Chaux-de-Fonds	1:4 ✺
08.12.23	Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau	0:4 ✺
05.12.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Thurgau	4:1 ✺
02.12.23	Thurgau - EHC Basel	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
21.11.23	Thurgau - Martigny	5:2
17.10.23	Thurgau - Martigny	3:0
Swiss Cup Hockey
30.09.23	Martigny - Thurgau	0:1
Swiss League Hockey
19.09.23	Martigny - Thurgau	1:0 OT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
24.10.26	Thurgau - EHC Basel	✺

Martigny - Thurgau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide