Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Merrimack Warriors		UMass Lowell River Hawks

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.15	3.1
	1.85	4.3	3.34
	1.85	4	3
	1.79	4.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	4.18 ↑ (4)	3.19 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
49.6%

Draw
21.8%

UMass Lowell River Hawks
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

22.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

23.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

UMass Lowell River Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMass Lowell River Hawks than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Merrimack may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merrimack might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Merrimack won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Merrimack Warriors: 1.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:2 ✺
20.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	5:3 ✺
14.02.26	Boston College Eagles - Merrimack Warriors	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Boston College Eagles	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- UMass Lowell River Hawks hockey
NCAA Hockey
07.03.26	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Boston University Terriers	4:3 ✺
05.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Northeastern Huskies	2:8 ✺
20.02.26	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Northeastern Huskies	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Vermont Catamounts - UMass Lowell River Hawks	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3
03.10.25	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Merrimack Warriors	4:0
18.11.23	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Merrimack Warriors	3:2 OT
15.11.23	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	2:1 penalties
17.03.23	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	2:1 OT
25.02.23	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	2:0
24.02.23	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Merrimack Warriors	3:5

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