Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Metallurg Cherepovets		Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.5	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.16)	4.5 ↑ (4.12)	3.22 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Cherepovets
51.6%

Draw
20.2%

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

21.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

20.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Cherepovets's performance.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Cherepovets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

4th leg. Metallurg Cherepovets (MHL) leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metallurg Maisky won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metallurg Maisky have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Metallurg Maisky won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Maisky won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Cherepovets
RHL
16.03.22	Metallurg Cherepovets - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:1 penalties
12.03.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	0:4 ✺
06.03.22	Dizelist Penza - Metallurg Cherepovets	0:3 ✺
05.03.22	Dizelist Penza - Metallurg Cherepovets	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL
- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
RHL
16.03.22	Metallurg Cherepovets - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:1 penalties
12.03.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	0:4 ✺
27.02.22	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:4 ✺
26.02.22	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.03.22	Metallurg Cherepovets - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0
13.03.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:1 penalties
12.03.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	0:4
14.12.21	Metallurg Cherepovets - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3
13.12.21	Metallurg Cherepovets - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:3
18.11.21	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:4 OT
17.11.21	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	4:3

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