Match Info
VHLDate: 14 September 2026, MondayLocation: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)
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Norilsk |
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Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.78 |
3.96 |
1.47 |
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4.70 |
3.89 |
1.45 |
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3.85 |
4.25 |
1.74 |
 Watch |
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4.20 |
4.20 |
1.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.38 ↑
(3.78) |
4.08 ↑
(3.81) |
1.57 ↓
(1.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Norilsk
20.6% | Draw
22.1% | Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Norilsk - Yugra Khanty Mansiysk Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Norilsk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Yugra (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Yugra (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Norilsk (votes: 1 - 25%). Yugra (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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98.  Gluschenko R. (G)
| 50. Sokhatsky V. (G)
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4. Shalapov Y. (A)
| 72. Savchik K.
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11. Steklov K.
| 21. Kirpichnikov A.
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8. Avramenko I.
| 11. Popov A.
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36. Zlodeyev D.
| 80. Maltsev M. (C)
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86. Kirileichenko M.
| 42. Shutov V.
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| Line 2 |
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74. Perelyayev S.
| 22. Filatov A.
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39. Bolshakov M.
| 64. Minayev Y.
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89. Yemets I.
| 86. Korobintsev V.
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10. Lipanov A.
| 82. Mamaladze D.
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56. Mokin N. (C)
| 23. Osipov G.
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| Line 3 |
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3. Melyakov K.
| 54. Churkin A. (A)
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5. Krasnov A.
| 52. Kolganov A.
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17. Golodnyuk S.
| 59. Nikolayev A.
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67. Sharifyanov T.
| 73. Khovanov A.
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23. Klimovich Y.
| 19. Grishakov A.
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| Line 4 |
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22. Rodionov A.
| 27. Khabarov M.
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28. Shevchenko A. (A)
| 6. Gordeyev M.
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87. Gorbunov Y.
| 96. Gorodetsky B.
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14. Sinyatkin S.
| 8. Kapustin K. (A)
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| 37. Baranov Y.
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| Substitutes |
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77. Guskov Y. (G)
| 29. Fudymovsky M. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:17, 0 - 1, Gordeyev M. (G), Osipov G. (A), Minayev Y. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 13:58, 1 - 1, Kirileichenko M. (G), Zlodeyev D. (A), Avramenko I. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 3)
- 1, Maltsev M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Kirileichenko M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Khovanov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Avramenko I. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Osipov G. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Mokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Nikolayev A. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Gorbunov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Grishakov A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.Recent performances by Norilsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Yugra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Yugra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Yugra has had a series of home games. In this match, Yugra is a strong favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 2.6:2.9).Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | HC Norilsk | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 32:32 | 18 |
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| 20 | HC Yugra | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Norilsk - the odds 3.78 are the expected chance of winning is 23.48%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 53.19%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VHL | | | 27.02.26 | Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk | 2:1 | | 27.09.25 | Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Norilsk | 2:4 | | 16.04.25 | Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk | 1:3 | | 14.04.25 | Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk | 3:4 OT | | 11.04.25 | Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Norilsk | 3:1 | | 09.04.25 | Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Norilsk | 2:1 | | 13.02.25 | Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk | 4:3 OT |
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