Match Info
NCAADate: 20 February 2026, Friday
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 |
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 |
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Michigan State Spartans |
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.35 |
5.5 |
5.65 |
|
 |
1.42 |
4.9 |
5.29 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.4) |
5.2 ↑
(5) |
5.47 ↑
(5.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Michigan State Spartans
65.8% | Draw
17.5% | Notre Dame Fighting Irish
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)The chances for Notre Dame Fighting Irish have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michigan State Spartans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 2nd Period (4 - 1)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 5.Michigan State is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Notre Dame is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Notre Dame may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Michigan State is considered a favorite.We predict that Michigan State will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 61:34. (average 3.4:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 4.1:1.9).
Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now
Michigan State Spartans: 7.24% Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 0.58%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA Hockey | | | 19.02.26 | Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4:2 | | 15.11.25 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans | 1:3 | | 14.11.25 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans | 1:4 | | 01.03.25 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans | 2:5 | | 28.02.25 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans | 2:5 | | 16.11.24 | Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4:3 | | 15.11.24 | Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8:3 |
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