Match Info

NCAA

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Penn State Nittany Lions		Michigan State Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.1	2.13
	2.56	4.09	2.21
	2.4	4	2.3
	2.51	4.05	2.16
	2.45	3.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	2.2 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penn State Nittany Lions
36.3%

Draw
22.5%

Michigan State Spartans
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

22.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.9%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penn State Nittany Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michigan State Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 2.

Penn State is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Michigan State is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:61. (average 2.6:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Penn State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 3:5.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan State Spartans: 7.24% Penn State Nittany Lions: 2.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Michigan State Spartans - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
30.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:6 ✺
24.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Penn State Nittany Lions	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:7 ✺
17.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6:3 ✺
16.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW
- Michigan State Spartans hockey
NCAA Hockey
30.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:6 ✺
24.01.26	Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	1:4 ✺
15.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
30.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:6
08.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:0
07.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:1 OT
22.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3
21.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3 penalties
10.01.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	4:6
13.01.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:7

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