Match Info

NCAA

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Minnesota State Mavericks		St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.45
	2.25	3.75	2.6
	2.22	3.9	2.49
	2.21	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	3.8 ↓ (3.82)	2.52 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota State Mavericks
40.3%

Draw
23.8%

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

23.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota State Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota State Mavericks than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota State won 3.

Minnesota State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

St. Thomas Minnesota's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, St. Thomas Minnesota has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Minnesota State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2.6:2.6).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Minnesota State Mavericks: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota State Mavericks - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota State Mavericks hockey
NCAA Hockey
14.03.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Michigan Tech Huskies	7:2 ✺
07.03.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Ferris State Bulldogs	1:2 OT ✺
06.03.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Ferris State Bulldogs	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	1:2 penalties ✺
20.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW
- St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies hockey
NCAA Hockey
14.03.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Augustana Vikings	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Lake Superior State Lakers	5:2 ✺
06.03.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Lake Superior State Lakers	4:3 OT ✺
21.02.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Augustana Vikings	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Augustana Vikings	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
10.01.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	2:4
31.10.25	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Minnesota State Mavericks	1:3
21.03.25	Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	4:2
09.11.24	Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	1:1 OT
08.11.24	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Minnesota State Mavericks	3:5
03.02.24	Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	2:4
02.02.24	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Minnesota State Mavericks	3:4 OT

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