Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Merrimack Warriors		Minnesota State Mavericks

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.3	3.05
	1.92	3.95	2.9
	1.77	4.25	3.37
	1.93	4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	4.13 ↑ (4.13)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
48.5%

Draw
21.9%

Minnesota State Mavericks
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Minnesota State Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Merrimack Warriors - Minnesota State Mavericks Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)

Preview

Minnesota State may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Merrimack has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 2.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Merrimack against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals.

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Merrimack Warriors: 2% Minnesota State Mavericks: 0.63%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
16.10.26	Merrimack Warriors - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:3 AET
08.10.26	Merrimack Warriors - New Hampshire Wildcats	4:3 penalties
03.10.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Merrimack Warriors	6:3 ✺
26.03.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Merrimack Warriors	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Merrimack Warriors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW
- Minnesota State Mavericks hockey
NCAA Hockey
16.10.26	Merrimack Warriors - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:3 AET
10.10.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Wisconsin Badgers	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Wisconsin Badgers	0:4 ✺
27.03.26	Western Michigan Broncos - Minnesota State Mavericks	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
16.10.26	Merrimack Warriors - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:3 AET
11.10.24	Minnesota State Mavericks - Merrimack Warriors	0:1

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