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Current Win Probability
Mogilev 18.9%
Draw 19.8%
Gomel 61.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.8%
19.6%
61.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
21.1%
58.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Mogilev - Gomel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
25. Stepanov S. (G)
98. Lubsky M. (G)
72. Zheldakov G.
4. Gostev A.
16. Prokhorenko M.
43. Anokhin N.
63. Valeyev A.
9. Sapelnikov Y.
52. Shiafotdinov K.
13. Sobhy N.
11. Kolgotin D.
95. Kunishnikov M.
Line 2
4. Dubinich N.
72. Kudin Y.
43. Dudko Y.
59. Ivanchikov D.
88. Solomonov Y.
71. Titov N.
33. Kozinov A.
46. Kachelovsky O.
44. Yermolenko A.
7. Kravchenko V.
Line 3
97. Ivanov Y.
22. Arkhiptsev A.
22. Vorobyov K.
11. Khoromando M.
12. Popkov A.
10. Sekerin I.
49. Malyuchenko A.
28. Gaidamak V.
8. Sergushkin D.
19. Voitovich M.
Line 4
47. Knysh S.
3. Shatilo I.
29. Stankevich I.
78. Ushev B.
39. Demyanyuk Y.
80. Gavrilovich P.
26. Klimin V.
88. Ponomartsev I.
44. Zaitsev G.
Substitutes
28. Kireenko V.
31. Karchevsky A. (G)
27. Osipov A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
08:19, 0 - 1, Gaidamak V. (G), Voitovich M. (A), Arkhiptsev A. (A2)
16:28, 0 - 2, Gaidamak V. (G), Kravchenko V. (A), Gostev A. (A2)
16:45, 0 - 3, Zaitsev G. (G), Gavrilovich P. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:57, 1 - 3, Kolgotin D. (G), Valeyev A. (A), Shiafotdinov K. (A2)
12:02, 1 - 4, Gaidamak V. (G), Voitovich M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:46, 1 - 5, Gavrilovich P. (G), Zaitsev G. (A), Khoromando M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogilev won 1.
Mogilev is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gomel shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Mogilev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Gomel is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gomel in today's match, at odds of 1.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mogilev has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:73 (averaging 2.2:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mogilev against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 20:29 goals (averaging 2.2:3.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Gomel
18
10
1
3
4
60:40
25
11
Mogilev
18
5
1
0
12
40:66
12
Last Results with these Odds
Mogilev - the odds 4.9 are the expected chance of winning is 18.84%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.