Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Mogilev		Lida

	1	X	2
	4.09	4.4	1.6
	4.89	4.7	1.47	Watch
	4.3	4.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.25)	4.62 ↓ (5)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mogilev
20.5%

Draw
19.6%

Lida
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

17.5%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

17%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Mogilev - Lida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kropova D. (G)	66. Tyalo I. (G)
21. Martynov Y.	79. Soldatov R.
24. Arbuzov Y.	71. Yershov V.
47. Levsha A.	77. Chubukov M.
44. Yermolenko A.	90. Remezov N.
33. Kuznetsov A.	95. Kunishnikov M.
Line 2
43. Sushko V.	18. Nikitin M.
9. Shaborshin G.	68. Kurganovich A.
8. Sergushkin D. (C)	19. Onufriyuk V.
73. Kozinov A. (A)	87. Boyarchuk P.
10. Timirev A.	67. Idiatullin A.
Line 3
16. Prokhorenko M.	8. Makarevich A.
39. Shurygin A.	47. Yukhnevich I.
19. Byakin M. (A)	61. Yakunin M.
37. Shapiro I.	21. Parkhomchik A.
13. Prokhorov A.	10. Ivankovsky A.
Line 4
14. Vorobyov K.	36. Grishkov K.
32. Semyonov Y.	88. Akulov S.
12. Popkov A.	17. Karpov M.
49. Malyuchenko A.	12. Gerasimov S.
26. Shapiro A.
Substitutes
52. Zinovenko R. (G)	72. Bratushkin I. (G)
	14. Sinelnikov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
11:20, 0 - 1, Soldatov R. (G), Kunishnikov M. (A),
11:44, 0 - 2, Kurganovich A. (G),
18:34, 0 - 3, Soldatov R. (G), Onufriyuk V. (A), Yukhnevich I. (A2)
19:52, 1 - 3, Sergushkin D. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:42, 2 - 3, Sergushkin D. (G), Timirev A. (A),
17:44, 2 - 4, Kunishnikov M. (G), Boyarchuk P. (A),
19:54, 2 - 5, Yershov V. (G), Gerasimov S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogilev won 2.

Mogilev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lida is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Mogilev has had a series of away games.

Recently, Lida has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lida is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mogilev won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 53:65. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mogilev won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 3.1:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Mogilev - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 20.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mogilev
Belarusian Extraleague
28.11.25	Mogilev - Lida	3:2 ✺
24.11.25	Baranovichy - Mogilev	2:3 penalties ✺
22.11.25	Baranovichy - Mogilev	5:6 ✺
19.11.25	Yunost Minsk - Mogilev	5:0 ✺
17.11.25	Yunost Minsk - Mogilev	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLL
- HK Lida
Belarusian Extraleague
28.11.25	Mogilev - Lida	3:2 ✺
24.11.25	Lida - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lida - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	4:1 ✺
18.11.25	Lida - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	5:4 OT ✺
16.11.25	Lida - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
28.11.25	Mogilev - Lida	3:2
13.09.25	Lida - Mogilev	4:3
11.09.25	Lida - Mogilev	5:2
07.12.24	Mogilev - Lida	2:1
05.12.24	Mogilev - Lida	1:3
15.09.24	Lida - Mogilev	2:3 penalties
13.09.24	Lida - Mogilev	2:1

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