Match Info

Date: 12 March 2021, Friday


	Mogilev		Pinskiye Yastreby

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.5	4.5
	1.44	5.2	4.5
	1.49	5.77	4.25
	1.53	5	3.75
	1.5	4.78	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)	5.25 ↑ (4.8)	4.33 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mogilev
61.6%

Draw
17.4%

Pinskiye Yastreby
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

18.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

11.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Pinskiye Yastreby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (-26.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mogilev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pinskiye Yastreby than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pinskiye Yastreby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mogilev - Pinskiye Yastreby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Mogilev is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pinskiye Yastreby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pinskiye Yastreby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pinskiye Yastreby have a series of home games.

In this match Mogilev is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mogilev won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 51-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Mogilev won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mogilev
Belarusian Extraleague
09.03.21	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	4:2 ✺
07.03.21	Mogilev - Vitebsk	5:4 ✺
28.02.21	Mogilev - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	1:1 ✺
26.02.21	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Mogilev	4:2 ✺
22.02.21	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- Pinskiye Yastreby
Belarusian Extraleague
10.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Baranovichy	6:5 OT ✺
08.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lida	5:1 ✺
22.02.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Belarus U18	4:3 ✺
20.02.21	Baranovichy - Pinskiye Yastreby	5:4 OT ✺
15.02.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup Hockey
08.08.20	Pinskiye Yastreby - Mogilev	1:3
Belarusian Extraleague
12.02.20	Pinskiye Yastreby - Mogilev	3:2 OT
07.02.20	Pinskiye Yastreby - Mogilev	2:0
13.01.20	Mogilev - Pinskiye Yastreby	8:2
08.01.20	Pinskiye Yastreby - Mogilev	4:2
06.12.19	Mogilev - Pinskiye Yastreby	9:4
Belarusian Cup Hockey
10.08.19	Mogilev - Pinskiye Yastreby	2:1 penalties

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