Match Info

Belarusian Cup

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Lokomotiv Orsha		Mogilev

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.90	2.80
	2.00	4.00	2.75
	2.02	4.05	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.98 ↓ (4.1)	2.79 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Orsha
44.8%

Draw
22.7%

Mogilev
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

22.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

22%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:31, 0 - 1, Zheldakov G. (G), Shiafotdinov K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:14, 0 - 2, Dudko Y. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:32, 0 - 3, Valeyev A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 3.

Lokomotiv Orsha has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mogilev is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lokomotiv Orsha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:67. (average 3.2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Orsha won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 2.9:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Cup Hockey
18.08.26	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:2 OT ✺
16.08.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:2 ✺
11.08.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Slavutych Smolensk	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Gomel - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0 ✺
02.08.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Metallurg Zhlobin	2:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLL
- HK Mogilev
Belarusian Cup Hockey
16.08.26	Mogilev - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	2:3 ✺
11.08.26	Mogilev - Metallurg Zhlobin	0:4 ✺
09.08.26	Mogilev - Slavutych Smolensk	3:4 ✺
04.08.26	Gomel - Mogilev	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Vitebsk - Mogilev	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.07.26	Mogilev - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:2
Belarusian Extraleague
18.12.25	Mogilev - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:4
16.12.25	Mogilev - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:5
25.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	3:2
23.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	2:5
Belarusian Cup Hockey
06.08.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	1:5
Belarusian Extraleague
25.12.24	Mogilev - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:5

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