Match Info

MHL

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Molot Perm		Chaika

	1	X	2
	5.26	4.94	1.47
	5.15	4.8	1.44
	5.14	5	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (3.8)	4.91 ↑ (4.5)	1.45 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
17.8%

Draw
18.7%

Chaika
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

20.4%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

22.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molot Perm's form might have worsened.

Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaika's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molot Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Molot Perm - Chaika Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Yermashov F. (G)	31. Suchkov D. (G)
18. Sharafislamov R.	65. Chesnokov I. (C)
27. Sizov R. (A)	19. Anisimov A.
97. Korotayev D.	71. Laptev V.
13. Uzhva A.	12. Mishin V.
98. Strik I.	97. Kulyabin A.
Line 2
96. Kolchanov A.	51. Izmailov N. (A)
8. Filippov A. (C)	81. Mullerov I.
99. Melnikov G.	75. Melnikov Y.
29. Kalashnik M.	15. Matyuk A.
12. Dubrovsky D.	10. Shcherbakov K.
Line 3
58. Sobolev V.	33. Agafonov M. (A)
85. Martynenko D. (A)	73. Katin M.
45. Karpov S.	17. Burov Y.
69. Stepanov A.	29. Zhurun Y.
89. Kabisov T.	72. Fogelnest M.
Line 4
72. Nikiforov R.	23. Guryev S.
14. Korolyov P.	76. Belyakov K.
10. Charugin A.	8. Kozin V.
71. Vishnevsky A.	5. Gornov S.
87. Kirzhatsky K.	16. Bessonov A.
Substitutes
30. Zhulanov Y. (G)	74. Sabitov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:07, 0 - 1, Chesnokov I. (G), Anisimov A. (A),
07:36, 0 - 2, Kozin V. (G), Mullerov I. (A), Gornov S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
15:37, 0 - 3, Izmailov N. (G), Zhurun Y. (A), Shcherbakov K. (A2)
19:35, 0 - 4, Gornov S. (G), Shcherbakov K. (A), Izmailov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Molot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chaika has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Chaika for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Molot has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:75 (averaging 1.8:3.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Molot against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 14:30 goals (averaging 1.8:3.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
18.09.26	Molot Perm - Snezhnye Barsy	3:4 ✺
17.09.26	Molot Perm - Snezhnye Barsy	4:1 ✺
10.09.26	Mamonty Yugry - Molot Perm	3:5 ✺
08.09.26	Mamonty Yugry - Molot Perm	3:2 OT ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.26	Loko-76 - Molot Perm	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LWWLW
- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
17.09.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Reaktor - Chaika	3:4 ✺
07.09.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	3:2 ✺
18.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
28.11.25	Molot Perm - Chaika	2:6
10.10.25	Chaika - Molot Perm	4:3
07.02.25	Molot Perm - Chaika	2:5
14.11.24	Chaika - Molot Perm	1:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.24	Chaika - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties
29.08.24	Chaika - Molot Perm	1:0
MHL
06.10.23	Chaika - Molot Perm	8:1

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