Match Info

MHL

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Molot Perm		Irbis Kazan

	1	X	2
	5.21	5.06	1.47
	5.15	5.00	1.45
	5.98	5.49	1.37	Watch
	4.5	4.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.5)	5.09 ↑ (4.8)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
17.8%

Draw
18.2%

Irbis Kazan
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

19%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

20.8%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Irbis Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Irbis Kazan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Molot Perm - Irbis Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Vorobyov T. (G)	1. Grigoryev G. (G)
58. Sobolev V.	34. Mustafin F.
8. Filippov A. (C)	9. Gagiyev K.
97. Korotayev D.	13. Gorodilov R.
29. Kalashnik M.	37. Kolomytsev I. (A)
99. Melnikov G.	11. Kutuzov K. (C)
Line 2
18. Sharafislamov R.	26. Khatibullin S.
85. Martynenko D. (A)	96. Devyatov Y.
81. Cheranev M.	10. Buzayev K.
45. Karpov S.	86. Gataullin A.
89. Kabisov T.	51. Davletshin I. (A)
Line 3
55. Yerokhov K.	77. Gainullin I.
27. Sizov R. (A)	80. Lesnikov S.
12. Dubrovsky D.	17. Kalimullin A.
13. Uzhva A.	21. Chirkov M.
98. Strik I.	84. Ovchinnikov A.
Line 4
14. Korolyov P.	33. Stepanov M.
10. Charugin A.	15. Kamalov A.
69. Stepanov A.	7. Nurgaliyev M.
44. Malyshev A.	29. Gimadiev A.
47. Khudoyan P.
Substitutes
30. Zhulanov Y. (G)	71. Klimov D.
	79. Saburin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:38, 0 - 1, Gimadiev A. (G), Kamalov A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:39, 0 - 2, Nurgaliyev M. (G), Gimadiev A. (A), Mustafin F. (A2)
05:46, 0 - 3, Kamalov A. (G), Nurgaliyev M. (A), Gimadiev A. (A2)
19:58, 1 - 3, Uzhva A. (G), Martynenko D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:23, 1 - 4, Kamalov A. (G), Gimadiev A. (A), Nurgaliyev M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Molot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Irbis is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Molot has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:52 (averaging 1.8:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Molot against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 8:14 goals (averaging 1.3:2.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Molot Perm - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 20.25%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
21.09.26	Molot Perm - Chaika	0:4 ✺
18.09.26	Molot Perm - Snezhnye Barsy	3:4 ✺
17.09.26	Molot Perm - Snezhnye Barsy	4:1 ✺
10.09.26	Mamonty Yugry - Molot Perm	3:5 ✺
08.09.26	Mamonty Yugry - Molot Perm	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL
- Irbis Kazan
MHL
19.09.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Irbis Kazan	1:7 ✺
17.09.26	Reaktor - Irbis Kazan	4:3 ✺
10.09.26	Irbis Kazan - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	1:5 ✺
07.09.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Irbis Kazan - Reaktor	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Irbis Kazan - Molot Perm	8:2
MHL
02.12.25	Irbis Kazan - Molot Perm	13:2
14.10.25	Molot Perm - Irbis Kazan	0:2
04.02.25	Molot Perm - Irbis Kazan	0:1
12.11.24	Irbis Kazan - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties
09.10.23	Irbis Kazan - Molot Perm	1:2
16.09.23	Molot Perm - Irbis Kazan	3:4

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