Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.94	2.04	Watch
	3.2	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.5)	3.97 ↑ (3.6)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
29.2%

Draw
23.2%

Molot Perm
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.9%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.9%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Rostov - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
6. Gapochkin R.	12. Glukhov N. (C)
11. Tsalpanov Y.	55. Kozhevnikov A.
95. Korbit Y.	15. Zenchikov I.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
8. Sokolov D.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	89. Malyavin A.
47. Krikunov V.	16. Averin N.
26. Urulin S. (A)	34. Mikhasyonok V.
25. Sedantsov O.	61. Polyakov V.
17. Smolyov I.	51. Kitsyn M. (A)
Line 3
44. Grishin P.	42. Labutkin Y.
5. Makarov S.	9. Pirogov I.
78. Kondyrev K.	11. Lapin D.
32. Barsukov T.	95. Shlykov V.
73. Prokhorov A.	22. Sinyavsky P.
Line 4
55. Machugin D.	59. Sokolov N.
64. Sorokin S.	76. Migur A.
23. Kamensky Y.	13. Yabelov D.
88. Voloskov G.	92. Kazakov M.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	90. Guskov Y. (G)
20. Puzyakov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
00:22, 1 - 0, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Korbit Y. (A),
09:32, 2 - 0, Kondyrev K. (G), Prokhorov A. (A),
10:36, 3 - 0, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Sokolov D. (A), Korbit Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:33, 3 - 1, Kitsyn M. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A), Polyakov V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
03:00, 3 - 2, Zenchikov I. (G), Glukhov N. (A),
06:32, 3 - 3, Kitsyn M. (G), Glukhov N. (A),
14:51, 3 - 4, Yabelov D. (G),
19:09, 4 - 4, Gapochkin R. (G), Tsalpanov Y. (A), Sergiyevsky Y. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:59, 4 - 5, Kitsyn M. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Molot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Molot has had a series of home games.

Molot could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 2.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 2.7:3.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Perm	12	6	2	0	4	30:23	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
10.01.26	Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Rostov - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	AKM - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
24.12.25	Ryazan - Rostov	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Dizel Penza - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWLWL
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
10.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
24.12.25	Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia	1:4 ✺
22.12.25	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 ✺
20.12.25	Molot Perm - Rubin Tyumen	0:4 ✺
18.12.25	Molot Perm - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.11.25	Molot Perm - Rostov	5:0
22.02.25	Rostov - Molot Perm	3:4 penalties
30.09.24	Molot Perm - Rostov	4:1
27.01.24	Molot Perm - Rostov	0:1
24.09.23	Rostov - Molot Perm	5:6
03.12.22	Molot Perm - Rostov	2:5
14.11.22	Rostov - Molot Perm	1:4

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