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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 54.2%
Draw 20.7%
San Jose Sharks 25.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
20.9%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
21.3%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montreal Canadiens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Montreal Canadiens - San Jose Sharks Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Dobes J. (G)
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
53. Dobson N.
7. Kesselring M.
48. Hutson L.
25. Nurse D. (A)
20. Slafkovsky J.
2. Smith W.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
71. Celebrini M. (C)
13. Caufield C.
92. Chernyshov I.
Line 2
45. Carrier A.
65. Trouba J.
21. Guhle K.
6. Dickinson S.
17. Anderson J. (A)
44. Sherwood K.
15. Newhook A.
77. Misa M.
22. Kreider C.
41. Stenberg I.
Line 3
42. Engstrom A.
42. Cagnoni L.
72. Xhekaj A.
9. Orlov D.
85. Texier A.
73. Toffoli T. (A)
24. Danault P.
21. Wennberg A.
76. Bolduc Z.
27. Marchment M.
Line 4
91. Kapanen O.
51. Graf C.
71. Evans J. (A)
63. Ostapchuk Z.
77. Dach K.
23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
32. Fowler J. (G)
30. Askarov Y. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Warsofsky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
10:45, Dellandrea T. (2 min),
13:49, 0 - 1, Celebrini M. (G),
16:38, 1 - 1, Suzuki N. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
17:22, Misa M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:49, 2 - 1, Slafkovsky J. (G), Caufield C. (A),
11:57, Slafkovsky J. (2 min),
11:57, Guhle K. (2 min),
11:57, Goodrow B. (2 min),
11:57, Ostapchuk Z. (2 min),
14:03, 3 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Danault P. (A2)
17:27, Texier A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:36, 3 - 2, Misa M. (G), Sherwood K. (A),
09:33, Kesselring M. (2 min),
09:33, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
09:33, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
11:09, 3 - 3, Toffoli T. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Trouba J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:53, Dobes J. (2 min),
02:13, 3 - 4, Celebrini M. (G), Stenberg I. (A), Smith W. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
In recent outings, Montreal has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
San Jose is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Jose may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Montreal has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Montreal is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Demidov I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Montembeault S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Xhekaj F.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Matheson M.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Montreal in today's match, at odds of 1.76.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:68 (averaging 2.2:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 17:37 goals (averaging 1.5:3.4 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 2.96% San Jose Sharks: 1.57%
Last Results with these Odds
San Jose Sharks - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.