The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 52.8%
Draw 21.1%
San Jose Sharks 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
19.5%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
19.3%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 50%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Jose Sharks will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Hildeby D. (G)
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
3. Klingberg J.
44. Rielly M. (A)
9. Orlov D.
11. Domi M.
2. Smith W.
34. Matthews A. (C)
71. Celebrini M.
23. Knies M.
51. Graf C.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
85. Mukhamadullin S.
22. McCabe J.
38. Ferraro M. (A)
89. Robertson N.
73. Toffoli T. (A)
91. Tavares J. (A)
21. Wennberg A. (A)
53. Cowan E.
72. Eklund W.
Line 3
3. Thrun H.
37. Liljegren T.
2. Benoit S.
6. Dickinson S.
88. Nylander W.
96. Kurashev P.
55. Roy N.
10. Dellandrea T.
81. Joshua D.
53. Skinner J.
Line 4
19. Jarnkrok C.
75. Reaves R.
24. Laughton S.
81. Gaudette A.
18. Lorentz S.
23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
30. Askarov Y. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Warsofsky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:31, Benoit S. (2 min),
11:46, Dellandrea T. (Penalty Shot),
14:33, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), McCabe J. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:58, Klingberg J. (2 min),
14:04, Celebrini M. (2 min),
14:32, 2 - 0, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
15:31, 2 - 1, Orlov D. (G), Klingberg J. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:28, Joshua D. (2 min),
09:03, Dellandrea T. (2 min),
18:35, 2 - 2, Klingberg J. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Gaudette A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:49, 2 - 3, Wennberg A. (G), Eklund W. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McMann B.
(Suspended)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Woll J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Couture L.
(Groin Injury)
Desharnais V.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Ellis R.
(Back Injury)
Price C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M.
(Illness)
There are questionable in San Jose: Askarov Y.
(Illness)
We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 61:64. (average 3.1:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.4:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
San Jose Sharks - the odds 4.48 are the expected chance of winning is 21.09%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Chile
Denmark
Finland
Iceland
Mexico
Norway
Spain
Sweden
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
World
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Hildeby D. (G) 
Nedeljkovic A. (G) 
Rielly M. (A) 
Orlov D. 
Kurashev P. 
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