The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 43.8%
Draw 22.1%
San Jose Sharks 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
21.5%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
21.6%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
57.1%
0%
Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
30. Askarov Y. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
7. Kesselring M.
22. McCabe J.
25. Nurse D.
96. Roslovic J.
2. Smith W.
34. Matthews A. (C)
71. Celebrini M. (C)
88. Nylander W.
92. Chernyshov I.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
65. Trouba J. (A)
44. Rielly M. (A)
6. Dickinson S.
86. Marchenko K.
44. Sherwood K.
20. Paul N.
77. Misa M.
53. Cowan E.
41. Stenberg I.
Line 3
3. Blankenburg N.
42. Cagnoni L.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
9. Orlov D.
71. Lettieri V. (A)
73. Toffoli T. (A)
15. Sissons C.
21. Wennberg A.
92. McKenna G.
27. Marchment M.
Line 4
19. MacEwen Z.
51. Graf C.
73. Blueger T.
63. Ostapchuk Z.
24. Duhaime B.
23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
41. Stolarz A. (G)
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.
. Warsofsky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:18, MacEwen Z. (2 min),
11:41, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
13:54, 0 - 1, Marchment M. (G), Toffoli T. (A),
15:25, Trouba J. (2 min),
16:23, Orlov D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:16, Smith W. (2 min),
14:59, McCabe J. (2 min),
19:41, (2 min),
19:48, 1 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Marchenko K. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:37, Cagnoni L. (2 min),
04:56, 2 - 1, McKenna G. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
11:40, Stecher T. (2 min),
16:20, Sherwood K. (2 min),
16:20, Paul N. (2 min),
19:20, 3 - 1, Paul N. (G), Matthews A. (A), Sissons C. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
Toronto is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by San Jose have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Toronto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tavares J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wood M.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:64 (averaging 3.1:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:27 goals (averaging 3.5:2.7 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22% San Jose Sharks: 1.38%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.42%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
San Jose Sharks - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 31.04%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Bobrovsky S. (G) 
Raddysh D. 
Kesselring M. 
Nylander W. 
Blueger T. 
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