Match Info

NHL

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Detroit Red Wings		San Jose Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.25	3.4	Watch
	1.95	4.29	3.26
	1.98	4.59	3.04	Watch
	2	4.33	3.25
	1.92	4.54	3.28
	1.9	4.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	4.4 ↑ (4.37)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Red Wings
49.1%

Draw
21.6%

San Jose Sharks
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

21.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

22.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 12 - 60%). San Jose will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Detroit (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Red Wings will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 7 - 87.5%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)	30. Askarov Y. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)	3. Klingberg J.
77. Edvinsson S.	9. Orlov D.
23. Raymond L. (A)	2. Smith W.
71. Larkin D. (C)	71. Celebrini M.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.	84. Regenda P.
Line 2
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.	37. Liljegren T.
8. Chiarot B.	38. Ferraro M. (A)
88. Kane P.	73. Toffoli T. (A)
18. Copp A.	21. Wennberg A. (A)
93. DeBrincat A.	72. Eklund W.
Line 3
25. Bernard-Docker J.	4. Leddy N.
20. Johansson A.	6. Dickinson S.
58. Finnie E.	92. Chernyshov I.
37. Compher J.T.	77. Misa M.
92. Kasper M.	51. Graf C.
Line 4
22. Appleton M.	81. Gaudette A.
27. Rasmussen M.	63. Ostapchuk Z.
85. Soderblom E.	23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)	33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.	. Warsofsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:44, Ferraro M. (2 min),
06:18, 1 - 0, DeBrincat A. (G), Raymond L. (A), Van Riemsdyk J. (A2)
09:54, 1 - 1, Smith W. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Klingberg J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:58, 1 - 2, Graf C. (G), Leddy N. (A), Dickinson S. (A2)
06:55, 2 - 2, Compher J.T. (G), Kasper M. (A),
18:20, Dickinson S. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:41, 3 - 2, Larkin D. (G), Raymond L. (A), Van Riemsdyk J. (A2)
11:34, Rasmussen M. (2 min),
18:28, 4 - 2, Kasper M. (G), Raymond L. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Detroit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Detroit is a strong favorite.

There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury) Desharnais V. (Upper-Body Injury) Kurashev P. (Upper-Body Injury) Mukhamadullin S. (Upper-Body Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury) Smith W. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 68:66. (average 3.4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 3.3:3.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

San Jose Sharks: 1.96% Detroit Red Wings: 0.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Detroit Red Wings - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Red Wings
NHL
13.01.26	Boston Bruins - Detroit Red Wings	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Detroit Red Wings - Carolina Hurricanes	4:3 OT ✺
10.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Detroit Red Wings	0:4 ✺
08.01.26	Detroit Red Wings - Vancouver Canucks	5:1 ✺
05.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Detroit Red Wings	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWW
- San Jose Sharks
NHL
15.01.26	Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:7 ✺
10.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	5:4 OT ✺
07.01.26	Los Angeles Kings - San Jose Sharks	3:4 OT ✺
06.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Columbus Blue Jackets	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
02.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Detroit Red Wings	2:3 penalties
14.01.25	Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks	3:6
18.11.24	San Jose Sharks - Detroit Red Wings	5:4 OT
02.01.24	San Jose Sharks - Detroit Red Wings	3:5
07.12.23	Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks	5:6 OT
24.01.23	Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks	3:2 OT
17.11.22	San Jose Sharks - Detroit Red Wings	4:7

Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide