The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 37.3%
Draw 23.8%
Tampa Bay Lightning 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
23.5%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
24.1%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
46.2%
15.4%
Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 2nd Period - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Dobes J. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
45. Carrier A.
43. Raddysh D.
8. Matheson M. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
17. Anderson J.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
14. Suzuki N. (C)
71. Cirelli A.
13. Caufield C.
38. Hagel B.
Line 2
48. Hutson L.
78. Lilleberg E.
21. Guhle K.
51. D'Astous C.
93. Demidov I.
10. Perry C.
71. Evans J.
21. Point B.
20. Slafkovsky J.
59. Guentzel J. (A)
Line 3
72. Xhekaj A.
81. Cernak E.
47. Struble J.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
11. Gallagher B. (A)
20. Paul N.
24. Danault P.
37. Gourde Y.
15. Newhook A.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
85. Texier A.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
77. Dach K.
17. James D.
76. Bolduc Z.
93. Goncalves G.
Substitutes
32. Fowler J. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
19:49, Guentzel J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:14, Texier A. (2 min),
16:54, D'Astous C. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
05:11, Guhle K. (2 min),
11:27, Struble J. (2 min),
11:27, Moser J.J. (2 min),
16:42, Demidov I. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
05:30, Kucherov N. (2 min),
09:03, 0 - 1, Goncalves G. (G), James D. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
Preview
Montreal Canadiens leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Montreal: Dobson N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Personal Reasons)
Holmberg P.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: D'Astous C.
(Injury)
Paul N.
(Illness)
We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:71. (average 2.9:3.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 2.5:3.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.31% Montreal Canadiens: 3.88%