Match Info

ELJ - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Mountfield HK U20		Sparta U20 Prague

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.2	2.17
	2.56	4.2	2.18	Watch
	2.45	4	2.15
	2.5	4	2.18
	2.4	4.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.51)	4.16 ↑ (4.12)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mountfield HK U20
36.5%

Draw
21.7%

Sparta U20 Prague
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

22.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

22.3%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mountfield HK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sparta U20 Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mountfield HK U20 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta U20 Prague than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Zaruba M. (G)	1. Zbanek S. (G)
20. Bezpalec A.	26. Blengino D.
22. Brzak F.	8. Burda A.
19. Gaso A.	20. Byakov A. (C)
15. Hendrych P.	15. Cerny V.
14. Hora T. (C)	23. Cichon R.
12. Janecek J.	16. Fabry A.
13. Jon J.	7. Holecek T.
5. Klima F.	13. Kadlec O.
21. Panek J.	27. Kurka A.
18. Paulus F.	14. Marek A.
3. Pavlik D.	21. McGovern M.
4. Rivnac S.	19. Nedved M.
11. Samek F.	29. Nejedly R.
9. Sichan D.	12. Novak B.
16. Simek P.	6. Odehnal M.
7. Studnicky K.	9. Petrovic D.
6. Vondruska J.	10. Sichtar S.
23. Vystavkin A.	11. Stekly V.
25. Vyvial J. (A)	24. Vrzal T.
Substitutes
1. Huzl D. (G)	30. Vaculik J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:59, 1 - 0, Janecek J. (G), Hendrych P. (A), Vondruska J. (A2)
12:33, 1 - 1, McGovern M. (G), Odehnal M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
07:24, 1 - 2, Burda A. (G), Kadlec O. (A),
17:54, 1 - 3, Odehnal M. (G), Marek A. (A), Cichon R. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:08, 2 - 3, Klima F. (G),
08:09, 3 - 3, Simek P. (G), Vondruska J. (A),
08:48, 3 - 4, Marek A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mountfield U20 won 0.

In recent matches, Mountfield U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sparta U20 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Mountfield U20 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sparta U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mountfield U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 43:65. (average 2.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mountfield U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.9:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Sparta Prague U20	12	7	2	1	2	47:31	26
13	Mountfield HK U20	13	3	1	2	7	39:48	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta U20 Prague - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
03.01.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Poruba U20 - Mountfield HK U20	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Slavia Prague U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLL
- HC Sparta U20 Prague
Czech ELJ
03.01.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Verva Litvínov U20	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Slavia Prague U20	5:4 ✺
14.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Pardubice U20	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
14.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 penalties
18.10.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	3:4 OT
18.03.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	2:5
15.03.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 OT
14.03.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	6:1
11.11.24	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	2:4
14.09.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	0:1 OT

Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide