Match Info

ELJ - Relegation - Round 3

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Czechicehockey.tv


	Mountfield HK U20		Zlin U20

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	4.05
	1.42	5.23	4.77
	1.49	5.25	4.81	Watch
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.35	5.5	5.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.68)	5.2 ↑ (4.58)	5.17 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mountfield HK U20
64.7%

Draw
17.6%

Zlin U20
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

20%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

21.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mountfield HK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mountfield HK U20's performance.

Zlin U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zlin U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield HK U20 than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mountfield HK U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlin U20 than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zlin U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Petrik V. (G)	36. Balan S. (G)
20. Bezpalec A. (C)	8. Ajgl M.
17. Fedencius T.	27. Feher A.
10. Frolik F.	23. Holba M. (A)
15. Hendrych P.	29. Horsky D.
24. Hlavacek A.	7. Hubacek T.
12. Janecek J.	43. Korenek R.
13. Jon J. (A)	91. Kos D.
5. Klima F.	24. Navratil D.
22. Martinec M.	87. Pavlusek M. (C)
23. Novotny A.	81. Pecner L. (A)
21. Panek J.	5. Vanek F.
18. Paulus F.	64. Zalubil K.
3. Pavlik D.
11. Samek F. (A)
25. Sedlacek M.
9. Sichan D.
16. Stiburek M.
7. Studnicky K.
Substitutes
1. Zaruba M. (G)	57. Uherek M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
15:00, 1 - 0, Bezpalec A. (G), Klima F. (A), Hlavacek A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:45, 1 - 1, Feher A. (G), Pavlusek M. (A),
19:08, 2 - 1, Pavlik D. (G), Hendrych P. (A), Martinec M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
16:31, 3 - 1, Studnicky K. (G), Jon J. (A),

Preview

Zlin U20 is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mountfield U20 won 4.

Mountfield U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zlin U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mountfield U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mountfield U20 is the team to beat.

We predict that Mountfield U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mountfield U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 75:54. (average 3.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mountfield U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:28. (average 3.9:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Mountfield HK U20	13	3	1	2	7	39:48	13

Last Results with these Odds

Mountfield HK U20 - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.55%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Zlin U20 - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 25.5%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
20.03.26	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:6 ✺
14.03.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Mountfield HK U20	1:4 ✺
12.03.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	3:4 ✺
05.03.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Slavia Prague U20	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWWW
- PSG Zlin U20
Czech ELJ
20.03.26	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:6 ✺
14.03.26	Zlin U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Plzen U20 - Zlin U20	8:4 ✺
05.03.26	Zlin U20 - Poruba U20	5:4 OT ✺
28.02.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Zlin U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
20.03.26	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:6
17.02.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	3:2
26.01.26	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	5:8
03.01.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	4:1
25.10.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	6:1
06.09.25	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:1
22.02.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	3:2

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