Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.84	1.78
	4.19	4.14	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.55)	3.99 ↑ (3.96)	1.74 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
23.5%

Draw
23.2%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.4%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

23.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
72. Korchemkin D.	90. Sumin A. (C)
51. Popov O.	55. Semyonov G.
71. Golodnyuk S.	59. Terekhov S. (A)
11. Shevchenko V. (A)	50. Komkov D.
93. Korenev I.	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
43. Ugolnikov A. (A)	89. Onishko A.
98. Abdeyev I.	85. Kurbanov A.
13. Kaletnik V. (C)	98. Avramenko I.
74. Lapshin I.	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
63. Yemets I.	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
18. Alexeyev D.	75. Ionov S.
64. Minayev Y.	8. Mulyukov I.
91. Lazarev A.	32. Yakupov R.
17. Dergunov P.	63. Platonov Y.
69. Skorikov D.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
79. Chebykin Y.	91. Nafigin I.
55. Alkhimov S.	61. Khasanov I.
58. Yadykin Y.	18. Korotkov B.
97. Leontyev A.	88. Bulatov A.
Substitutes
37. Botov M. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)
	87. Rakhimullin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:33, 1 - 0, Lazarev A. (G), Ugolnikov A. (A), Abdeyev I. (A2)
13:04, 2 - 0, Yemets I. (G), Korenev I. (A), Kaletnik V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Norilsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of home games.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.4%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
11.11.25	AKM - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Dizel Penza - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Norilsk - Izhstal	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
11.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	5:1 ✺
09.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 penalties ✺
04.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:3 ✺
27.10.25	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.12.24	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2
17.11.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	1:2
18.02.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:2
02.09.23	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties

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